|Day's range||77.89 - 78.31|
|52-week range||77.8900 - 88.8848|
AUDUSD needs to close beyond 50-day & 100-day SMA confluence-region of 0.7195-80 in order to aim for 0.7240 and the 0.7300 resistances; however, the 0.7330-40 area, comprising 200-day SMA & nine-month old descending trend-line, can restrict the pair’s upside past-0.7300. In case prices continue rallying past-0.7340, the 0.7400, the 0.7440 & the 0.7485 may flash on Bulls’ radars to target. Meanwhile, failure to offer a D1 close above 0.7195 could drag the pair back to 0.7150 and then 0.7075 prior to challenging the 0.7015-10 support-zone. ...
The major support according to the daily chart was the May 29, 2018 main bottom at 108.114. This chart showed that sellers had a clean shot at 104.600, which makes me wonder if it was actually a “flash crash”, or a well-played strategy to break the Dollar/Yen.
Although USDJPY’s U-turn from 100-day SMA & support-line of short-term symmetrical triangle helped it cross 50-day SMA, the triangle-resistance, at 114.00, could challenge the pair’s strength. Given the buyers’ ability to surpass 114.00 barrier on a daily closing basis, the 114.55 and the 115.00 might entertain them before pleasing with 61.8% FE level of 115.30. On the contrary, 50-day SMA level of 113.00 and the 112.55 can offer immediate supports to the pair ahead of highlighting 112.35-30 support-confluence for one more time. If at all prices slid beneath 112. ...
Early-month risk-on moves recently helped the AUD to recover some of its latest losses and AUDUSD is no exception to this as it crossed 0.7145-40 region; however, the pair needs to sustain the breakout in order to aim for 0.7200 and the 0.7235-40 resistance-area. Given the quote continue rising past-0.7240, the 0.7260 & 0.7300 are likely following numbers to appear on the Bulls’ radar to target. If at all prices fail to hold their strength and slide beneath 0.7140, the 0.7120 & 0.7100 can come-back on the chart. Assuming the pair’s extended downturn below 0.7100, the 0. ...
It’s early to talk about the strengthening of the AUD because up to now, there are no crucial fundamental factors that may become drivers for the Australian currency. Let’s go through all the factors that can be a market mover for the Australian Dollar.
The new week starts for us with the analysis of the USDJPY, where we do have a nice bullish setup. In addition to that, USDJPY drew a bullish price formation – Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern (yellow).
With the 114.50-75 horizontal-region and overbought RSI restricting the USDJPY’s further upside, chances of the pair’s pullback to 113.35 and then to the 112.60 are quite high. However, the 112.15-10 and the 111.30-15 support-confluence, comprising 100-day SMA & upward slanting TL, could challenge the quote’s declines past-113.35. In case prices refrain to respect the 111.15 mark, the 200-day SMA level of 109.80 may gain Bears’ attention. On the upside, a D1 close beyond 114.75 can quickly flash 115.00 on the chart, breaking which 115.50 & 116. ...
In this introduction, we will define the types of currency pairs and cover some of the basics you’ll need to know before you begin trading the ‘exotics’.
Investing.com - The dollar fell against its rivals Monday, on fears of an escalation in the U.S.-China trade war, while a stronger pound and euro also weighed on sentiment.
AUDUSD’s recovery from 0.7080 region may find it hard to prevail for long as not only 0.7235-40 horizontal-area but the descending TL figure of 0.7265 could also challenge the Aussie buyers. If the pair manage to surpass 0.7265 trend-line barrier, the 0.7320 and the 0.7355 can come back on the chart whereas 0.7370 and the 0.7410 might please the Bulls afterwards. Alternatively, the 0.7165 and the 0.7130 can offer immediate supports to the pair during its pullback before highlighting the 0.7080 mark for sellers. In case the quote continue declining past-0.7080, the 61.8% FE level of 0. ...
EURUSD still cannot decide if they want to go up or down. The major neckline is still a support so we do not have a sell signal but in the same time, the line connecting the top of the head and the right shoulder is also intact. For a proper signal, we need to wait for the breakout.
The last week was very eventful for the USDJPY. Apart from the technical analysis, positive sentiment was strengthened here by the rise of the global exchanges. In the last week, USDJPY broke three important resistances.
AUDJPY used the inverse head and shoulders pattern to come back above the long-term resistance on the 80.7. The sentiment is back to the positive one. All Fibonacci levels are additionally strengthened by the recent support/resistance levels.
Yesterday and today, EURAUD is climbing higher but just to test the super important horizontal resistance. EURAUD met a combination of three crucial elements. The second one is the horizontal resistance, which previously, for many weeks was a support and the third one is the mid-term down trendline.
Notwithstanding the AUDUSD’s sustained trading above a fortnight long ascending trend-line, the pair can’t be termed strong as immediate downward slanting TL, at 0.7455, followed by the 0.7480-85 horizontal-region, still stand tall to challenge the buyers. In case the pair surpasses the 0.7485, the 0.7500 may offer an intermediate halt during its rally to 0.7555 resistance-level. On the contrary, dip below the 0.7395 support-line can drag prices to the 0.7360 and the 0.7320 numbers. Though. pair’s additional weakness past-0.7320 might not respect the July-month low around 0. ...
According to different estimates, there is a risk now for Japan to get involved in the trade wars between the US and China. As of yet, there are no compelling reasons to be afraid of it, but in theory, such possibility really exists.
Should Bears refrain to respect the 0.7255 mark, the medium-term descending trend-line, at 0.7145, and the 100% FE level of 0.7115 might not hesitate to appear on the chart. AUDJPY presently struggles with three-week old ascending trend-line, at 81.95, break of which can further drag the quote to 81.60 and the 81.25 supports. Meanwhile, the 82.20, the 82.55 and the 82.80 can confine the pair’s nearby upside, which if cleared may escalate the recovery in direction to the 83.00 horizontal-line, the 83.20 and the 83.55 number that accompanies more than a month long descending trend-line.
Trump’s comments may have ignited the initial sell-off in the Dollar/Yen, however, they are now an afterthought due to the reports that the BOJ is considering a shift in monetary policy. The story is still breaking and details are sparse, but investors are wasting no time waiting for official word which probably won’t come out until next week’s central bank meeting.
Worse CPI in the UK sends the GBP lower. On the GBPCAD it helps to break the long-term up trendline and the lower line of the rectangle. That is a strong sell.
The European Union and Japan signed a historic deal on Tuesday that will remove any tariffs on products they exchange.
The end of the last week and the start of this one are great for the currencies from the antipodes: AUD and NZD. In the battle of those two, the AUD seems a bit stronger, that is why we will focus on the first one. On the AUDJPY, we can see a very interesting buying opportunity.
The AUD is going down again after taking a short break. The RBA meeting minutes did not affect the currency very much, as everything was quite clear beforehand. The Chinese stats were, on the contrary, very influential.
Following its U-turn from 0.7805–0.7800 horizontal-resistance, the AUDUSD seems declining towards 0.7725-20 support test, but oversold RSI may confine the pair’s further downside, failing to which can highlight the 0.7700 and the 0.7670 rest-points. During the pair’s additional south-run beneath the 0.7670, the 0.7650 may become an important level to watch that if broken might not hesitate dragging the quote to 61.8% FE level of 0.7595. Meanwhile, an upside break of 0.7805 can trigger the pair’s recovery in direction to 0.7840 and then to the 0.7850-55. ...
Wednesday is a Head and Shoulders day in our analysis! Today we do have three great trading occasions for you based on this popular pattern. First one is the USDCAD, where the price created a big Head and Shoulders pattern. Next one is the AUDJPY, where we do have an Inverse Head and Shoulders formation.