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Why Mount Gibson Iron Limited (ASX:MGX) Could Be A Buy

Mount Gibson Iron Limited (ASX:MGX), a metals and mining company based in Australia, led the ASX gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. As a small cap stock, hardly covered by any analysts, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let’s take a look at Mount Gibson Iron’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists. Check out our latest analysis for Mount Gibson Iron

What’s the opportunity in Mount Gibson Iron?

Good news, investors! Mount Gibson Iron is still a bargain right now. I’ve used the price-to-equity ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 5.74x is currently well-below the industry average of 13.4x, meaning that it is trading at a cheaper price relative to its peers. Another thing to keep in mind is that Mount Gibson Iron’s share price is quite stable relative to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards its intrinsic value over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.

What does the future of Mount Gibson Iron look like?

ASX:MGX Future Profit Jun 7th 18
ASX:MGX Future Profit Jun 7th 18

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Mount Gibson Iron, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the next few years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Although MGX is currently undervalued, the negative outlook does bring on some uncertainty, which equates to higher risk. I recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to MGX, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

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Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on MGX for a while, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current undervaluation, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Mount Gibson Iron. You can find everything you need to know about Mount Gibson Iron in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Mount Gibson Iron, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.