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A Sliding Share Price Has Us Looking At Hanmi Financial Corporation's (NASDAQ:HAFC) P/E Ratio

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Hanmi Financial (NASDAQ:HAFC) share price has dived 34% in the last thirty days. That drop has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 46% in that time.

Assuming nothing else has changed, a lower share price makes a stock more attractive to potential buyers. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). The implication here is that long term investors have an opportunity when expectations of a company are too low. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E ratio means that investors have a high expectation about future growth, while a low P/E ratio means they have low expectations about future growth.

See our latest analysis for Hanmi Financial

Does Hanmi Financial Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 11.10 that there is some investor optimism about Hanmi Financial. You can see in the image below that the average P/E (9.7) for companies in the banks industry is lower than Hanmi Financial's P/E.

NasdaqGS:HAFC Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 13th 2020
NasdaqGS:HAFC Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 13th 2020

Hanmi Financial's P/E tells us that market participants think the company will perform better than its industry peers, going forward. The market is optimistic about the future, but that doesn't guarantee future growth. So investors should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

If earnings fall then in the future the 'E' will be lower. Therefore, even if you pay a low multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become higher in the future. A higher P/E should indicate the stock is expensive relative to others -- and that may encourage shareholders to sell.

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Hanmi Financial saw earnings per share decrease by 41% last year. And it has shrunk its earnings per share by 7.7% per year over the last five years. This growth rate might warrant a below average P/E ratio.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

The 'Price' in P/E reflects the market capitalization of the company. Thus, the metric does not reflect cash or debt held by the company. In theory, a company can lower its future P/E ratio by using cash or debt to invest in growth.

Spending on growth might be good or bad a few years later, but the point is that the P/E ratio does not account for the option (or lack thereof).

How Does Hanmi Financial's Debt Impact Its P/E Ratio?

Net debt totals 24% of Hanmi Financial's market cap. That's enough debt to impact the P/E ratio a little; so keep it in mind if you're comparing it to companies without debt.

The Bottom Line On Hanmi Financial's P/E Ratio

Hanmi Financial trades on a P/E ratio of 11.1, which is below the US market average of 13.3. Since it only carries a modest debt load, it's likely the low expectations implied by the P/E ratio arise from the lack of recent earnings growth. What can be absolutely certain is that the market has become significantly less optimistic about Hanmi Financial over the last month, with the P/E ratio falling from 16.8 back then to 11.1 today. For those who don't like to trade against momentum, that could be a warning sign, but a contrarian investor might want to take a closer look.

When the market is wrong about a stock, it gives savvy investors an opportunity. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, 'In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine. So this free visualization of the analyst consensus on future earnings could help you make the right decision about whether to buy, sell, or hold.

Of course you might be able to find a better stock than Hanmi Financial. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.