Q1 2024 Mr Cooper Group Inc Earnings Call

Participants

Ken Posner; SVP, Strategic Planning and IR; Mr Cooper Group Inc

Jay Bray; Chairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer; Mr Cooper Group Inc

Michael Weinbach; President; Mr Cooper Group Inc

Kurt Johnson; Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President; Mr Cooper Group Inc

Crispin Love; Analyst; Piper Sandler & Co.

Bose George; Analyst; Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc.

Doug Harter; Analyst; UBS Securities LLC

Kyle Joseph; Analyst; Jefferies LLC

Giuliano Bologna; Analyst; Compass Point Research & Trading, LLC

Terry Ma; Analyst; Barclays PLC

Eric Hagen; Analyst; BTIG LLC

Presentation

Ken Posner

Good morning, and welcome to Mr. Cooper Group's first quarter earnings call. My name is Ken Posner, and I'm SVP of Strategic Planning and Investor Relations. With me today are Jay Bray, Chairman and CEO; Mike Weinbach, President; and Kurt Johnson, Executive Vice President and CFO.
As a reminder, this call is being recorded. You can find the slides on our Investor Relations webpage at investors.mrcoopergroup.com.
During the call, we may refer to non-GAAP measures, which are reconciled to GAAP results in the appendix to the slide deck. Also, we may make forward-looking statements, which you should understand could be affected by risk factors that we've identified in our 10-K and other SEC filings. We are not undertaking any commitment to update these statements if conditions change.
And with that, I'll now turn the call over to Jay.

Jay Bray

Thanks, Ken, and good morning, everyone, and welcome to our call. This morning, I plan to talk about Mr. Cooper's technology strategy, which has been a major driver of our growth, and which is the key to sustaining higher returns.
But first, let's review the quarterly highlights on slide 3. Operating ROTCE hit 14.5%, which was a great way to start the year, as this gets us into our guidance range of 14% to 18%. And we continue to see opportunities to progress higher into this range by executing on our strategy. We were pleased to report tangible book value up 15% year over year to $65.48.
Turning to servicing, the portfolio hit $1.1 trillion as we acquired $54 billion in MSRs with double-digit yields and completed onboarding a $9 billion portfolio from an important new subservicing client. On a year-over-year basis, the portfolio was up 33%. At this point in the cycle, we are clearly pulling away from competitors in terms of building scale.
Thanks to the fast portfolio growth and impressive operating leverage, servicing income reached $273 million. Mike will comment more on the pipeline in a minute, but I'll steal a little bit of his thunder and tell you we're continuing to see super attractive opportunities in the bulk market, which we believe reflects the shakeout going on in the industry, with banks pulling back from the asset class and originators seeking a source of liquidity.
Turning to originations, our team did a great job, generating $32 million in pretax income while continuing to be an industry leader in retention. As you'll recall, during the quarter, we issued $1 billion in high-yield notes priced to yield 7.25%, which I would add represents the tightest spreads in the company's history. That was a nice vote of confidence from the high-yield community. And we were also encouraged to see Moody's upgrade our corporate credit rating by two notches, and S&P upgrade our outlook to positive. We finished the quarter with record liquidity and a very strong capital ratio, as Kurt will take you through, while also continuing our share repurchases, albeit at a slightly lower level, given the strong returns we saw in the bulk MSR market.
Now let's pull out and spend a moment on technology. If you'll turn to slide 4, we've built our business model around a series of self-reinforcing competitive advantages. A great customer experience leads to strong retention, which maximizes returns and makes us the best bid for acquiring MSRs. Growing scale, in turn, gives us the resources to invest in technology, which is how we've delivered the operational and cost leadership, which has propelled the company over nearly 30 years to become the nation's largest servicer.
Let's turn to slide 5 and talk about our strategy. AI is in the headlines, as it should be, but to implement AI, need a state-of-the-art platform. So let's start by talking about the cloud, which we embraced much earlier than our peers. In fact, we built our servicing platform to be cloud native from the start, which is why we were able to sell the IP to Sagent in early 2022 for a 20% interest in their term. Sagent is now integrating our technology onto a cloud-native core to create a new platform called Dara, which will offer real-time, any-time end-to-end processing, and we'll be the first to benefit.
But more importantly, by picking the right partner for cloud native servicing technology, we were able to reallocate resources to other strategically important projects. These include building proprietary tools for customer retention, loan modification, and onboarding portfolios. We've also devoted resources to further digitizing processes in originations and servicing and improving our foundation. And of course, a top priority for us over several years now has been machine learning and AI.
Let's turn to slide 6 and talk about pyro, our patented mortgage-centric AR platform, which we've been actively developing since 2019 in partnership with Google. Initially, we focused pyro on document extraction and classification, which is a huge project for servicers, since we deal with vast quantities of documents, including lots of nonstandard forms. In 2020, we used pyro to process 150 million pages of data. And today, we are running at well north of 600 million pages per year.
How does pyro help us? When we buy a portfolio of MSRs, we typically ingest hundreds of thousands of documents. Pyro scans and read these documents using mortgage-specific learning models, harnessing AI to recognize and classify the data and populate it directly into our system. And in addition to capturing standard loan and customer attributes, our technology also detects unstructured content such as signatures and stamps.
Pyro's fast, typically processing a new portfolio within 24 hours. And now it has been trained on hundreds of millions of documents, it's very accurate, with accuracy rates of 97% or higher without any humans in the loop.
When it comes to bidding on portfolios, pyro gives us a massive advantage because we can respond to sellers with great speed and confidence. For example, think of the complexity that goes into modeling advances for a pool of MSRs. Before pyro, we've spent months reconciling invoices and filing claims with sellers. And for large portfolios with missing files, this process sometimes dragged on for years. Today, with pyro, we get a crystal-clear understanding of advances within hours of reviewing the deal take, which allows us to price to deal quickly and accurately, while the seller doesn't need to worry about a tail of liabilities.
Pyro also helps us provide our new customers with a seamless onboarding experience since we have all their data properly recorded. Now to be sure, thanks to pyro, we've definitely trimmed expenses, with fewer people dedicated to data entry, indexing, and reconciliations. But more importantly, with four years of experience, we're now ready to roll out pyro in many other areas.
If you'll turn to slide 7, let's talk about where we're taking pyro from here. Over the next few years, AI will radically transform our operations in many ways. For example, we're starting to apply supervised learning techniques to solve unstructured problems. The way this works in the call center is that pyro continually gathers diagnostic information by listening to calls in real time, monitoring agent actions, and tracking the outcomes. Then the platform uses this information to optimize the flow of calls by recognizing patterns, anticipating issues, and routing calls to the right teams and prompting agents with the information the customers need. Supervised learning in the call center will mean fewer, faster calls and happier customers whose needs are solved quickly.
Now this won't happen overnight, and you can't implement these kinds of solutions without a robust digital platform. But over time, these applications will result in massive efficiency gains. We're already taking the first steps on this journey. For example, by using pyro to automatically summarize calls and trigger follow-up actions. The summaries free up agents from note taking, allowing them to focus on their customers. And we're finding this application shaves roughly 40 seconds off the average call, which for an operation with thousands of calls per day, adds up to millions of dollars in savings.
Now as with any new technology, AI brings risks. That's why we and other companies operate under a rubric of responsible AI, which includes controls to ensure the applications are unbiased, compliant, and secure.
To wrap up, I'll leave you with a final point, which is that our technology strategy has benefited from our balanced business model, which shelters us from the extreme swings in profitability of origination-focused peers, and which has allowed us to invest in technology on a consistent basis year in and year out as we work on a never-ending goal of perfecting our platform.
Today, given our momentum and the challenges facing the rest of the industry, we have an opportunity to take our competitive advantages and make them decisive. In other words, we'll use the cloud, AI, and other applications to provide world-class service to our customers, operate as the trusted partner for our agency and investor stakeholders, and drive unmatched costs and operational leadership, which will translate into the rising ROTCE we're guiding you to expect.
With that, I'll turn the call over to President Mike Weinbach to take you through the operating results.

Michael Weinbach

Thanks, Jay, and good morning, everyone. I'd like to start by saying how thrilled I am to be a part of the Mr. Cooper team and how excited I feel to be playing offense in an industry which has such an important customer mission.
I'm going to start on slide 8 and discuss the servicing portfolio, where we're clearly enjoying a period of rapid growth. As of March 31, the portfolio has reached $1.1 trillion, which is up 33% from a year ago. We now have over 5 million customers whom we look forward to serving for many years to come.
Growth in the first quarter was split between MSR acquisitions and subservicing. In the MSR market, we've seen very robust volumes so far this year, reflecting the two key trends which are reshaping the servicing industry. First, originators are selling MSRs for liquidity if they deal with nearly two years of negative margins in what is one of the most difficult markets in memory. And second, banks are reassessing their exposure to MSRs due to regulatory capital concerns and the technology investments required to stay competitive relative to the reduced market share.
These trends are translating into very strong supply in the bulk market. In the first quarter, our pipeline hit a record level as we evaluated 52 bulk transactions, which is up nearly 50% from the level a year ago. These include deals brought to market by the MSR broker community, where we have excellent relationships, as well as a considerable volume of transactions which sellers bring us directly.
For many sellers, Mr. Cooper is the preferred buyer. That's because of our hard-earned reputation for timely closing and smooth onboarding. And as Jay just explained, pyro means we can respond to sellers with even greater speed and accuracy.
This was also a great quarter for our subservicing business, where Mr. Cooper's rapidly becoming the platform of choice. In addition to the new client we onboarded, we're benefiting from portfolio growth at many of our existing partners. Our team is actively talking with various MSR owners, including investors, originators, and regional banks, and we're optimistic that we'll be able to win new clients. Subservicing is central to our growth strategy because it adds to our scale advantages and generates fee income without requiring capital or liquidity and is thus an important lever for raising ROTCE into that high-teens range.
Looking ahead to the second quarter, the momentum should continue, with approximately another $100 billion in UPB scheduled to board, again split between MSRs and subservicing. After that, growth will depend on the yields available in the market. While we're optimistic about a continued robust supply of MSRs, we're also seeing some signs of aggressive pricing, especially for portfolios that are closer to the money. You should expect us to remain disciplined in how we deploy our capital. We have no problem taking a pause from growth if conditions warrant.
Turning to slide 9, let's spend a moment on servicing earnings, which were quite strong at $273 million this quarter, up from $229 million in the fourth quarter. There were several factors driving strong performance, of which the most important was portfolio growth, which drove a $70 million sequential lift in operational revenues. Additionally, servicing earnings benefited from very low CPRs, which came in at 4.2% during the first quarter, minimizing our amortization expense.
Finally, we did an outstanding job generating positive operating leverage, with expenses up only $6 million sequentially, despite our rapid growth. This leverage is the payoff from the intense focus on technology and operations that Jay discussed. Now please don't project this level of operating leverage every quarter, as you should expect ongoing investments in new applications, as well as ensuring we have the right number of people to take care of our customers. That said, we expect continued operating leverage, even as we continue to invest in the platform. Looking ahead to the second quarter, we guide you to servicing income being flat to up in a range of $270 million to $290 million, depending on the impact to CPRs from the recent uptick in mortgage rates.
Now let's turn to slide 10 and discuss originations, where we reported pretax earnings of $32 million, which came in slightly above guidance. As you recall, when mortgage rates dipped toward the end of last year, our direct-to-consumer team was very nimble in helping customers take advantage of the opportunity to save money. As a result, we saw a slight uptick in rate and term refis, which made up 12% of funded volumes in the first quarter. Otherwise, the mix remains dominated by cashout purchases and second liens, which are the products that provide the most value for our customers in this environment.
You'll notice our refi recapture rates dipped slightly to 70%, and the industry dropped from 20% to 18%. Now this was partly due to a lower mix of cashout refis, which provide some lift to the ratio, since the new cashout loan has a higher UPB than the payoff. Overall, our recapture remains strong at almost four times the industry average.
To maximize the value for our customers, we're continuing to invest in our DTC platform. You'll recall last year we talked about how project FLASH helped us realize 20% unit cost savings in processing by digitizing those workflows, which means breaking them down into discrete steps, which can then be automated. Well, now we're applying FLASH to underwriting, with similar productivity goals. We're also investing in a range of enhancements designed to make the application experience quicker and easier. And we're starting to use AI in originations as well, such as in automating income verification. We're beginning to see a return on these investments in the form of faster cycle times, higher pull through, and lower cost per loan to originate.
As we look ahead, the originations environment remains difficult. But as we continue to grow our servicing portfolio, that means more opportunities to help customers save money or access the equity they built in their homes. For the second quarter, we guide you to expect originations earnings before tax to be flat to up in the range of $30 million to $40 million.
Now I'll turn the call over to Kurt, who will take you through our financial performance.

Kurt Johnson

Thanks, Mike, and good morning. I'll start on slide 11 with a brief recap of our financials. To summarize, net income was $181 million, which includes a positive $42 million mark, $199 million in pretax operating earnings, and adjustments of $7 million.
In addition to the servicing and operating results, which Mike just took you through, xome continued to operate around breakeven, with a $1 million loss in the quarter. Adjustments consisted of $2 million in trailing expenses associated with Home Point and other acquisitions last year, and a $4 million loss associated with equity investments.
During the quarter, we marked up the MSR by $164 million due to higher interest rates and expectations for lower CPRs, leading to a quarter-end valuation of 155 basis points of UPB or a 5.3 multiple of the base servicing fee strip. This was offset by a $122 million hedge loss, which equated to 74% coverage, which is pretty much right on top of our target ratio of 75%. I'll add that with a weighted average coupon of only 4.1%, our portfolio has significantly less duration and convexity risk than an at-the-money MSR, which makes hedging a relatively simple exercise.
Our deferred tax asset declined by $46 million this quarter and now totals $426 million. We continue to utilize our DTAs to offset taxable income and minimize our cash tax payments, which strengthens our cash flow.
Tangible book value per share increased 15% year on year to $65.48. You may have noticed that our ending share count ticked up slightly in the quarter from 64.6 million to 64.7 million shares. This was due to issuances of 0.7 million shares relating to vesting of employee stock incentives, which is something that typically happens in the first quarter of every year.
Slide 12 gives you an update on asset quality, which continues to be a very good story for Mr. Cooper. Last year, the markets were concerned about a recession lying just around the corner. And this year, while those concerns have abated, we all know that the cycle eventually turns. And we put a lot of thought into constructing a portfolio that can perform in bad times as well as good.
As you may recall, Mr. Cooper's growth really took off in the aftermath of the global financial crisis, when we took on large troubled portfolios from institutions that didn't have the capacity to manage losses or effectively help their customers. Agencies, MBS investors, and other stakeholders expect the servicer to perform in these conditions, which is arguably one of the most important ways in which we contribute to the health and stability of the mortgage and housing market.
In the first quarter, delinquencies in our MSR portfolio dropped to an all-time low of 1.1%, down from a previous record low of 1.3% in the fourth quarter, and 2.3% in the first quarter a year ago, with declines in both conventional and government loans. Now clearly, the strong credit environment is a major driver of these results, but also, we have, by design, constructed a high-quality book with weighted average FICO scores at a record high, while the weighted average LTV continues to decline. This is not accidental. We've been deliberately acquiring seasoned bulk portfolios where the customers' note rates are well below market and where customers have substantial equity built up in their homes.
We've also been working to help our customers take advantage of the latest generation of modification programs offered by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, FHA, and VA. During the first quarter, we implemented 24,000 workouts, up 50% year over year. Rolling out these programs at scale is another example of the power of our digital platform. And it also demonstrates our commitment keeping the dream of homeownership alive.
To wrap up, our balance sheet remains exceptionally strong, as you can see on slide 13. Liquidity reached another record high of $3.3 billion thanks to a $1 billion senior note issuance during the quarter, which we used to pay down our MSR lines. Liquidity consisted of $578 million in unrestricted cash, with the remaining MSR line capacity, which is fully collateralized and immediately available.
We did draw on our MSR lines for purchases during the quarter, but this brought us new collateral. And we were able to upsize our borrowing capacity by $200 million during the quarter and another $250 million after quarter end. Additionally, we began renegotiating existing MSR lines to extend maturities to 2026.
Our capital ratio as measured by tangible net worth assets ended the quarter at 29%, down 30 basis points due to asset growth, but still above our target range of 20% to 25% as we continued to deploy our capital in a measured, thoughtful, and disciplined manner. As Mike mentioned, we're anticipating boarding another $100 billion in UPB in second quarter, split between owned and subservicing.
Just to anticipate the question, at that point, we would have capacity for another $50 billion to $55 billion in owned UPB while still remaining comfortably in compliant with all our capital and liquidity policies. And with our servicing portfolio now generating well in excess of $1 billion per year, we can continue to grow with a combination of cash generated from our business along with secured and unsecured debt.
As you know, we're also pursuing asset-light growth strategies, including subservicing and the launch of a co-mingled MSR fund and separate managed accounts. Raising LP capital in this environment is not a fast process, but we're having very positive discussions with sovereign wealth funds, pension plans, and other asset managers to view the double-digit uncorrelated net returns available from MSRs as an attractive opportunity within their private credit allocations.
Let me echo Jay's comments about how pleased we are with operating ROTCE already at 14.5%, although obviously, it will take not just a single quarter but strong performance over time to demonstrate what we believe the business model is capable of. The 15% guidance does not assume lower interest rates or higher leverage, but merely that we continue to execute on our technology strategy in both servicing and originations, and that we grow asset-light strategies like subservicing. Last quarter, we shared guidance in excess of $10 in operating EPS for 2025. And given our execution on plan, we continue to be extremely confident in our expectations.
With that, I'd like to thank you for joining us on today's call and for your interest in Mr. Cooper. I'd now like to turn the call back over to Ken for Q&A.

Ken Posner

Thanks, Kurt. And Michelle, we'd like to now start the Q&A, please.

Question and Answer Session

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Crispin Love, Piper Sandler.

Crispin Love

Just first, can you discuss a little bit what you're seeing competition-wise in the originations segment? Have you seen a solid improvement in margins and then also a pickup in volumes in the quarter? And do you think that you can hold margins steady or they might pull back a bit from the elevated levels you had in the first quarter?

Michael Weinbach

Yeah, hi, it's Mike. As we look across the originations market, obviously, with rates up, it continues to be a challenging market. But at the same time, as our portfolio grows, we have more opportunities to help customers take advantage of the equity they have in their homes, find ways to have a lower rate, or if they're looking to move, help them with a purchase in a new home.
So we don't give specific guidance on margins, but we feel good about the opportunities we've had to be consistently profitable on this space and to continue to take great care of our customers. So we expect it to continue to be a competitive market if rates are higher. Obviously, that will change if rates come down, but we mostly focus on being there to serve our customers regardless of the rate environment.

Crispin Love

Appreciate the color there. And then also, you mentioned that the MSR bulk purchase market remains attractive and you put some numbers around that as well. But can you dig a little bit deeper there and discuss one, the competition you're seeing; and then two, what types of portfolios you're most interested in? If that's higher coupon, lower coupon, more agency, or just any color.

Jay Bray

So hey, this is Jay. What we think the bulk market is extremely attractive. I think as Mike pointed out, we looked at over 50 opportunities in the quarter. And yeah, there's a mix. It's a blend of legacy portfolios as well as at the money, newly originated portfolios.
And our approach is just to maintain our discipline. Like we look at all these portfolios, we run them. We have more data and more information probably than anybody in the industry around how certain sellers are going to perform, how the collaterals perform from a prepayment standpoint, default standpoint, et cetera. And we just exercise our consistent discipline in hitting our targeted returns.
So let's say we're indifferent with respect to what the portfolios come out or what's in the market, but we'll just continue to exercise our discipline in our targeted returns. But we're very, very bullish on the opportunity. And we just actually bought some additional portfolios this week, so we think the market is there and it's going to continue to be there.

Operator

Bose George, KBW.

Bose George

Can you talk about the potential longer-term growth in the servicing portfolio? I mean, could we see $2 trillion at some point? And would regulators see that as a concern or a plus, as servicing moves towards larger, well-capitalized servicers like you?

Michael Weinbach

Yeah, hey, Bose, it's Mike. Happy to start with that one, and Jay and Kurt can chime in as well. In the past, we have a target of reaching $1 trillion in servicing. I think as we move forward, you're going to hear us talking a lot more about targeted returns. So we're not targeting a certain size. We look at what the market offers. And as Jay just talked about, we're disciplined in terms of the way we price opportunities. And so the market will really dictate what our future growth is. We feel good about the ability to continue to earn good returns for our shareholders.
The only thing I'd add though is if you look at the market overall, there's about $14 trillion of mortgages outstanding. And actually, over $30 trillion of equity in homeowners' homes. And that's grown probably from $10 trillion a decade ago. So there's been some slow and steady growth in the market. You'd expect that to continue.
In addition, it's a challenging business. It requires making sure you're making the investments to stay compliant with federal, state, and local laws and rolling out new programs that investors ask for you. So we're continually investing back in the business.
I think part of the reason you're seeing us grow is because there's a lot of other people in the mortgage ecosystem who are focused on something other than servicing, helping homeowners getting to new homes, leading investment management platforms. And people have been able to partner with us either through us offering subservicing where they can focus on what they do best, or focusing on originations and selling what they originate to be able to fund their business, which allowed us to grow.
So a long way of saying even with our growth in servicing, it's still a single digit share of an overall market. And we think there's a lot of reasons for the market to continue consolidating, so the rest of the ecosystem can focus on what they do best.

Jay Bray

The only thing I would add, Bose, is that if you look at our performance scorecard standpoint, I mean, we're consistently number one or number two from all of our stakeholders. And so I think there's a lot of confidence in Mr. Cooper as a servicer.
And it's just natural that, to Mike's point, it's that large scale matters, technology matters, investment matters. If you look at other financial services, types of companies, market share can grow considerably, and so we don't see any impediment to growth from here.
The last comment I would make is about half of our portfolio is subservicing, right? And so we don't really have the capital risk, or it's completely capital-light business. So long answer to your question, but that's how we think.

Bose George

That's great. That's very helpful. Thanks. And then just a question on the corporate segment outlook there. Is this quarter's number a reasonable run rate going forward? I mean there are a couple of little blips, but is this a reasonable level?

Jay Bray

No. I think we've actually made some investments in the corporate segment to look to reduce it going forward. We think there's opportunity in the coming quarters to actually reduce expenses in the corporate segment, so you shouldn't think -- you should really look at that as an investment that we made to actually identify some future savings.

Bose George

So just specifically, some of the expenses in the first quarter were the investments. So you see it trending down from here?

Jay Bray

Exactly.

Kurt Johnson

Although Bose, it's Kurt, I just want to comment. The debt expense had only two out of three-month rates on the new $1 billion issuance, so that will tick up slightly, but it's pretty close to our run rate. And we do call that out separately.

Bose George

Yeah, okay. Thanks a lot.

Operator

Doug Harter, UBS.

Doug Harter

Can you talk about the outlook for cost per loan on the servicing side? As you think -- can you continue to drive that lower? And does that come from the technology investments? Does it come from continued scale, or both?

Jay Bray

I'll start, and let these guys come in. Hey, Doug. I mean, I'll just give you an example of the power of the platform. We boarded $130 billion in the first quarter, and our actual compensation expense went down. And we think we can board a $100 billion portfolio today and add less than 50 people. And so we've got incredible scale, incredible power in the platform.
And I think we're in still the middle innings of what's possible from a cost per loan standpoint, which is why we spent some time today talking about AI and the investments there. But we've been investing in data and technology for years, and AI is just now another arrow in the quiver to continue to drive costs down. So we really are bullish on continuing to take cost out there.
So I don't know, Mike, if you want to add anything?

Michael Weinbach

Yeah, nothing to add. That's the plan.

Doug Harter

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Kyle Joseph, Jefferies.

Kyle Joseph

Just looking at slide 12, I want to dig a little bit more on the industry DQs, particularly on the Ginnie side, you're seeing DQs even come down in that segment. What's driving that dynamic? Have you been able to refi those into Fannie and Freddie products?

Kurt Johnson

Hey, Kyle, it's Kurt. I'll take a stab at that question. You can see, obviously, FHA coming down a lot faster than VA and USDA. FHA has done a really great job from a modification standpoint of just putting programs in place that are easy for the servicer to implement, and really attractive for the customer as well. So they have programs that allow the customer to stay in their low-rate mortgages and capitalize all of the arrears on the back end of the mortgage, and we've actually seen them perform quite well as well. So the customer, once they recover from their temporary hardship, is able to go into these, keep the same mortgage rate, and really continue to perform. And that's why we're seeing the drop-off in FHA.
Now VA hasn't had the same programs historically, and so that's what you're seeing a slower decline, particularly around customers that are coming off of forbearance. But VA just introduced a new program this last week where customers can get a modification with a 2.5% rate and a 30- to 40-year amortization. So we do think that VA in the near term will probably have some good opportunities as well. But that's really what's driving it.
And yes, we are seeing it industry-wide. If you look at the FHA performance, you'll see that their delinquencies have dropped overall over the last couple of months. And I think you'll continue to see them decline as servicers are able to implement these programs.

Kyle Joseph

Got it. And then a tangential follow-up, just in terms of xome, for the first quarter, is that a decent revenue run rate? Obviously, the lower DQs would impact that business, but just give us a sense for how that business is performing in decline in DQs.

Jay Bray

I mean, I think xome is performing as expected, right? We're not expecting anything terribly exciting from xome in this market. I mean, delinquencies are at all-time lows. We don't see that changing anytime soon. Given Kurt's point, the government continues to roll out programs to keep borrowers in their homes, which is obviously very, very positive for the servicing business.
But I think until the cycle changes and you start to see more foreclosures as meaningful, I don't think you should expect a lot out of xome. But again, we're patient. It's a very valuable asset. We've got a great platform where we continue to win market share. And yeah, we'll be patient.

Kyle Joseph

Got it. Thanks very much for taking my questions.

Operator

Giuliano Bologna, Compass Point.

Giuliano Bologna

Good morning and congratulations on the continued execution.

Jay Bray

Thanks, Giuliano.

Giuliano Bologna

One thing I'd be curious about is you've obviously grown the portfolio a lot, and you're now $700 billion predicted for next quarter. Is there any preference for your balanced portfolios or at the money portfolios going forward? And is there any preference for different products out there?

Jay Bray

Again, I think the way we think about it is we're always going to be a market participant and we're always going to look at what's in the market and stick with our disciplined approach to hit our targeted returns. And so we, today, I would say, are buying more conventional than Ginnie, and historically have bought more out of what I would call out of the money portfolios.
But as the market evolves and changes, I think you'll see more at the money portfolios coming to market, especially from the originators. And so we're going to be active, but we're going to be disciplined. And we don't see really any change in the velocity of what's coming to market. Just given where the banks are at and where the origination market's at, we'll just continue to focus on what we do. And we have a real competitive advantage from a loan boarding standpoint, cost standpoint, recapture standpoint, so we feel good about the opportunity.

Kurt Johnson

The only thing I'd add is that we do look at all the transactions on an option-adjusted spread basis. And so we price with the optionality on at the money portfolios. And where we see value, we will buy. And to Jay's point, we're relatively indifferent. We just want to make sure that we're adding value to our shareholders with every single purchase that we do.
We do think our recapture is best in class. And so as there are opportunities for at the money, I think that there's some good opportunities for DTC and to leverage that platform a little bit more. So you may see us a little bit more active or closer to at the money and giving our portfolio a little bit of room for growth from an originations perspective. But again, discipline around the price. And we said we looked at 52 portfolios. We didn't went anywhere close to 52. So it's still a competitive marketplace where we think we'll see value and where we see additive to our earnings potential, that's where we're going to be a winning better.

Giuliano Bologna

Got it, that's very helpful. And then one of the -- I hope it's not too early to bring up, but Freddie Mac has a proposal out, it's a proposal, not yet -- hasn't approved yet, but around ensuring and enabling second mortgages. It will be fixed rate and 20 years of term instead of Q walks for current Freddie Mac loans.
I'm curious if you think about that type of product. Obviously, it's only for those for Freddie so far. And it would be interesting to see if it goes for -- if it ends up being proposed for Fannie as well. But I'm curious if there's any opportunity around that product where you thought about the potential opportunity, because it could obviously bring in another wave of -- origination kind of quasi-cashout refi volume that could be additive to the origination platform and also to the servicing platform. Just curious if you've thought about what that opportunity could look like. I realize it's a fairly early days.

Michael Weinbach

Yeah, hey, Giuliano, it's Mike. You said a lot of the answer in your question, which is it's relatively early days. But we think it's very interesting. And we exist to serve homeowners, and if there are more tools that give us opportunities to help homeowners take advantage of the equity in their home, it's great for our customers and it's great for us.
As this market's developing, and if you think back to the HELOC market before the financial crisis, obviously, that didn't end up very well. And so since then, it's been much more responsible. And we appreciate that and support that and want to continue to see that.
And it's still in the early innings of evolving, so the vast majority of Americans with a mortgage have a mortgage at a much lower rate than where loans are being originated today. Go back to some of the stats I threw out earlier. Over $30 trillion of equity available in homes against $14 trillion of mortgages. So the LTV of the market as a whole is in the low 30s. So there's a lot of opportunity there.
And we'd love to see products come out that are simpler for homeowners. And Freddie is in a great position, they have the first lien, they know a lot about that customer, they know a lot about the value of the loan, they know a lot about the security of the instrument. And so we're really excited to see they're looking at ways to innovate, to make things easier for customers and their servicers and their investors to help customers take advantage of the equity in their homes.

Jay Bray

And the only thing I'd add is we're doing second liens today, right? When you look at our platform, it's not an insignificant percentage of what the origination platforms is funding today. So we have the operational capability to roll this out. So yeah, we're excited about it, and I think it will be a real opportunity.

Giuliano Bologna

That's very helpful. And I appreciate it. And I'll jump back in the queue.

Operator

Terry Ma, Barclays.

Terry Ma

I just wanted to follow-up on the MSR opportunity. Maybe to ask it a slightly different way, maybe like this quarter, out of 52 deals, can you give us a sense of how many of those deals actually hit your return hurdles or in your wheelhouse? And then out of that, maybe how many did you win, like due to pricing and competition?

Jay Bray

Look, I think it's -- we're still winning a pretty small percentage in the grand scheme of things. We don't really comment on specifics around that process. But we looked at all of them. We have a very tight investment committee process around that. And we're still winning a fairly small percentage, which again, we're okay with because we want to make sure we're hitting the returns for our shareholders.

Michael Weinbach

The only thing I'd add, just to reiterate what Jay said, we lose more than we win, we bid almost all of them, and we think we get to see almost everything that's in the market because people know our ability to very quickly evaluate our portfolio against our return hurdles and come back with a price.

Jay Bray

Good point.

Michael Weinbach

Yeah, we like that we continue to see everything. We're going to remain disciplined. We're going to be an active participant in the market. And even losing more than we win, it's helped us be able to grow.

Jay Bray

And the last piece I would add is we do have sellers that consistently come to us directly because we have a proven track record with them. We've been able to execute time and time again. And so there, obviously, we're going to win those in most cases because we have a track record with that seller. So that's one other element of the process.

Terry Ma

Got it. That's helpful. And then I may have missed this, but on the servicing pretax for the quarter, you guys had some pretty good operating leverage. Was there anything one-time or seasonal in that? How should we think about, I guess maybe the margin, going forward?

Kurt Johnson

No, there really wasn't much in the way of one-timers in servicing, particularly not from an expense standpoint. So I think you can -- as Mike said, you can't count on the operating leverage being that robust on a go-forward basis. But I think Jay pointed out, right, $100 billion of additions with less than 50 adds from a headcount perspective. I think the operating leverage continues to exist and you'll see that play out on a go-forward basis.

Michael Weinbach

And the only thing I'd add is obviously, there's an element of rates there. So with higher rates, CPRs were lower. If the environment had been different, you might see what appears to be less operating leverage. But what underlies that regardless of rate is we're continuing to invest in the platform, which has given us the capabilities that Jay talked about, to bring on new loans without needing to add significant amounts of expense.
So we feel great about the scalability of the platform. We're going to continue to invest to realize it. But as I said up front, we expect to see continued operating leverage going forward.

Terry Ma

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Eric Hagen, BTIG.

Eric Hagen

On the $50 billion of MSRs that you're onboarding this quarter, can you share how you're financing that? Is it all in cash? Are you using any debt? Was it competitively bid? And any recapture expectations you might expect for that portfolio? And then a follow-up there, I mean, is it right to assume that the amortization expense that you expect as you onboard that is proportional to the amortization expense in the overall portfolio right now?

Kurt Johnson

Yeah, all good questions, Eric. Look, the $50 billion -- and I'm trying to remember all the questions now because there are a lot of components to it, the $50 billion was largely competitively bid. To Jay's point, there were a couple that probably came directly to us, but for the most part, it was competitively bid.
I think yes, you'll see a pro rata amortization expense, but as Mike pointed out, a lot of that is interest rate dependent. So if the rates stay where they are in this higher range, I think you'll definitely see a pro rata amortization. If they increase a little bit -- or sorry, if they decrease a little bit, you'll see that go up. And I think you'll see a corresponding increase in our DTC performance as well. So again, the focus is on the balanced business model. And we do think that these returns are really interest rate agnostic, and that where you see a drop-off in service and because of a rate rally, you'll see an increase in our DTC channel.

Eric Hagen

Yeah, okay. That's helpful. Good discussion on this call. I mean, we've seen the investor base for MSRs evolve very considerably over the last couple of years. Do you feel like a more concentrated ownership of servicing from the nonbank community and mortgage rates contributes to higher volatility for the asset class? How do you think about your footprint in light of ownership base?

Jay Bray

I mean, I think the short answer is no. I mean, from our standpoint, when you look at the buyers that are out there today, they're typically strong, well-capitalized. You've got the financial buyer segment, which we subservice for. And our strong counterparties, good operators like a Mr. Cooper, and then you've got -- if you look at someone like us, clearly, we think -- with our goal is to be the leader in the market, continue to provide stable, consistent earnings in our returns, and have a fortress balance sheet. I mean, that's the way we think about the business. To be a leader, you need those things. So no, we certainly don't think that it's introduced more volatility into the system.

Kurt Johnson

And I would say that the banks are still there, right? They are still bidding against us, and we've seen them win a couple of portfolios in Q1. So it's not like they're entirely out of the marketplace either.

Eric Hagen

Yeah. Got you. I appreciate you guys. Thank you.

Kurt Johnson

Thank, Eric.

Operator

Thank you. And I'm showing no further questions at this time. And I'd like to hand the conference back to Jay Bray for any closing remarks.

Jay Bray

We appreciate everyone for joining the call. Have a great day. Thank you.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.