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Portfolio Analysis: A $1.23 Million Portfolio Built on Shaky Ground

Portfolio Analysis: A $1.23 Million Portfolio Built on Shaky Ground

My latest portfolio report card is for BB, a late-60s retiree living in Naples, Florida. He manages his own investments and says he watches his money "like a hawk."

BB's $1,236,939 portfolio consists of a taxable brokerage account that contains one hedge fund, one mutual fund, one individual stock, three exchange-traded funds, a managed portfolio of energy master limited partnerships and cash.

BB asked me to do a portfolio report card analysis to find out the strengths and weaknesses of his investments.

What kind of grade does BB's portfolio get? Let's analyze and grade it together.

Snapshot of BB's $1.23 Million Portfolio

Citadel Hedge Fund

-

-

$292,000

Harvest Fund Advisors (MLP)

-

MLP

$244,589

PRIMECAP Odyssey Aggressive Growth

POAGX

Mid-Cap Growth

$248,250

WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity

DXJ

Japanese stocks

$123,500

WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity

HEDJ

European stocks

$128,000

First Trust NYSE Arca Biotech

FBT

Sector

$121,600

PTC Inc.

PTC

Individual stock

$32,000

Money Market

SWMXX

Cash

$49,000

Total Portfolio Value

$1,236,939

Cost. Investing is not a cost-free activity, and your net performance is directly tied to how well or poorly you contain the cost of your investment portfolio. Sadly, most people are so distracted that minimizing trading activity, cutting fund expenses and reducing other unnecessary fees isn't a priority.

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BB's portfolio owns one hedge fund, one separately managed account, one mutual fund, three ETFs, one individual stock and cash. The mutual fund and ETF holdings have asset-weighted expenses of 0.57 percent, while the separately managed MLP account charges 1 percent. The cost of this portfolio is 65 percent more expensive compared to our ETF benchmark. Put another way, BB has too much fat in his portfolio.

Diversification. The hallmark of genuinely diversified investment portfolios is broad market exposure to the five major asset classes: stocks, bonds, commodities, real estate and cash. How does BB's portfolio do?

His portfolio has exposure to U.S. and international stocks, energy MLPs and cash. However, the portfolio lacks broad diversification to stocks because the funds he owns, like the First Trust NYSE Arca Biotech ETF (FBT), are sector-focused.

Likewise, the other funds he owns, like the WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund (DXJ) and WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity (HEDJ) engage in tactical strategies that concentrate exposure in a certain segment of the stock market. The same is true of his PRIMECAP Odyssey Aggressive Growth Fund (POAGX), which only owns a narrow segment of the stock market: mid-cap growth stocks.

Although BB owns energy MLPs, this only covers one narrow segment of the entire commodities market.

In summary, BB's portfolio comes up short on diversification because it is highly concentrated, plus it lacks broad exposure to three major asset classes: real estate, commodities and bonds.

Risk. Your portfolio's risk character should always be 100 percent compatible with your capacity for risk and volatility, along with your financial circumstances, liquidity requirements and your age.

BB's overall asset mix of this total portfolio is the following: 76 percent stocks, 20 percent energy MLPs and 4 percent cash.

Clearly, BB's exposure to equities is elevated for his age group and doesn't leave him much cushion if market conditions suddenly change. Although BB is financially versed, his risk management techniques could use an overhaul.

Put another way, a 20 percent to 40 percent stock market decline would expose BB's portfolio to potential market losses of $188,000 to $375,000.

Tax efficiency. Smartly designed investment portfolios are always aggressive at reducing the threat of taxes. This can be achieved by owning tax-efficient investment vehicles like index funds or ETFs, along with using smart asset allocation strategies.

BB told me he's been using tax losses carried over from previous years to offset his current portfolio's tax liabilities. While this is good, the tax efficiency of BB's portfolio can still be better. For example, the energy MLPs are not a tax-efficient asset, yet they're held in a taxable investment account.

Performance. Your portfolio's performance is indeed the bottom line, but it's never the only line. That's because your performance return -- good or bad -- is directly impacted by your portfolio's cost, risk, diversification and taxes. How does BB's portfolio do?

This portfolio gained $27,000 (BB withdrew $60,000), and its one-year performance return from January 2014 to January 2015 was 7.12 percent, versus a gain of 3.77 percent for the index benchmark matching this same asset mix. Investment performance should match or exceed the benchmark, and BB's one-year performance is satisfactory.

The final grade. BB's final grade is "C" (weak). Although BB's one-year performance return was satisfactory, his performance is largely attributable to lots of luck along with a cooperative stock market versus financial acumen. Furthermore, it's highly doubtful that BB's equity-heavy portfolio would deliver satisfactory performance in a different market climate.

BB's portfolio scored poorly at minimizing cost, maximizing diversification and having a risk profile that is age-appropriate. Fixing these portfolio defects should be his priority.

I'm especially concerned that BB has built the foundation of his core portfolio using non-core assets like hedge funds, sector ETFs and tactically niche equity funds. Substituting highly concentrated or leveraged non-core assets in the place of broadly diversified core assets inside your core portfolio is comparable to building a home on shaky ground.

In summary, if BB fixes the weaknesses within his portfolio, satisfactory performance returns should become a regular thing versus a one-year anomaly.



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