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What Is Meritage Homes's (NYSE:MTH) P/E Ratio After Its Share Price Tanked?

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Meritage Homes (NYSE:MTH) share price has dived 38% in the last thirty days. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced the annual gain to a relatively sedate 3.5% over the last twelve months.

All else being equal, a share price drop should make a stock more attractive to potential investors. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). The implication here is that long term investors have an opportunity when expectations of a company are too low. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). Investors have optimistic expectations of companies with higher P/E ratios, compared to companies with lower P/E ratios.

Check out our latest analysis for Meritage Homes

Does Meritage Homes Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

Meritage Homes's P/E of 6.82 indicates relatively low sentiment towards the stock. We can see in the image below that the average P/E (8.3) for companies in the consumer durables industry is higher than Meritage Homes's P/E.

NYSE:MTH Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 13th 2020
NYSE:MTH Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 13th 2020

Meritage Homes's P/E tells us that market participants think it will not fare as well as its peers in the same industry. Many investors like to buy stocks when the market is pessimistic about their prospects. If you consider the stock interesting, further research is recommended. For example, I often monitor director buying and selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Generally speaking the rate of earnings growth has a profound impact on a company's P/E multiple. When earnings grow, the 'E' increases, over time. That means unless the share price increases, the P/E will reduce in a few years. So while a stock may look expensive based on past earnings, it could be cheap based on future earnings.

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It's great to see that Meritage Homes grew EPS by 16% in the last year. And its annual EPS growth rate over 5 years is 12%. So one might expect an above average P/E ratio.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

The 'Price' in P/E reflects the market capitalization of the company. That means it doesn't take debt or cash into account. Hypothetically, a company could reduce its future P/E ratio by spending its cash (or taking on debt) to achieve higher earnings.

Such spending might be good or bad, overall, but the key point here is that you need to look at debt to understand the P/E ratio in context.

Meritage Homes's Balance Sheet

Net debt is 41% of Meritage Homes's market cap. While it's worth keeping this in mind, it isn't a worry.

The Verdict On Meritage Homes's P/E Ratio

Meritage Homes's P/E is 6.8 which is below average (13.3) in the US market. The company hasn't stretched its balance sheet, and earnings growth was good last year. If it continues to grow, then the current low P/E may prove to be unjustified. What can be absolutely certain is that the market has become more pessimistic about Meritage Homes over the last month, with the P/E ratio falling from 11.1 back then to 6.8 today. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for deep value investors this stock might justify some research.

When the market is wrong about a stock, it gives savvy investors an opportunity. If it is underestimating a company, investors can make money by buying and holding the shares until the market corrects itself. So this free visualization of the analyst consensus on future earnings could help you make the right decision about whether to buy, sell, or hold.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with modest (or no) debt, trading on a P/E below 20.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.