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Masco Corporation Just Recorded A 11% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Last week, you might have seen that Masco Corporation (NYSE:MAS) released its first-quarter result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 3.3% to US$69.87 in the past week. Revenues were US$1.9b, approximately in line with expectations, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) performed substantially better. EPS of US$0.97 were also better than expected, beating analyst predictions by 11%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Masco

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Following last week's earnings report, Masco's 22 analysts are forecasting 2024 revenues to be US$7.99b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory per-share earnings are expected to be US$4.15, roughly flat on the last 12 months. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$8.03b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$4.12 in 2024. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

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It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at US$80.01. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Masco at US$90.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$64.92. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Masco shareholders.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Masco's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 1.3% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 6.4% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 5.5% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Masco is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Masco's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$80.01, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Masco analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Masco that you need to be mindful of.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.