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The Liontown Resources (ASX:LTR) Share Price Gained 1267% And Shareholders Are Jubilant

We think all investors should try to buy and hold high quality multi-year winners. While not every stock performs well, when investors win, they can win big. To wit, the Liontown Resources Limited (ASX:LTR) share price has soared 1267% over five years. This just goes to show the value creation that some businesses can achieve. It's down 5.7% in the last seven days.

It really delights us to see such great share price performance for investors.

Check out our latest analysis for Liontown Resources

With just AU$1,450 worth of revenue in twelve months, we don't think the market considers Liontown Resources to have proven its business plan. So it seems that the investors focused more on what could be, than paying attention to the current revenues (or lack thereof). For example, investors may be hoping that Liontown Resources finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.

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As a general rule, if a company doesn't have much revenue, and it loses money, then it is a high risk investment. There is usually a significant chance that they will need more money for business development, putting them at the mercy of capital markets. So the share price itself impacts the value of the shares (as it determines the cost of capital). While some such companies go on to make revenue, profits, and generate value, others get hyped up by hopeful naifs before eventually going bankrupt. Some Liontown Resources investors have already had a taste of the sweet taste stocks like this can leave in the mouth, as they gain popularity and attract speculative capital.

Our data indicates that Liontown Resources had AU$532k more in total liabilities than it had cash, when it last reported in June 2019. That makes it extremely high risk, in our view. So the fact that the stock is up 23% per year, over 5 years shows that high risks can lead to high rewards, sometimes. Investors must really like its potential. You can see in the image below, how Liontown Resources's cash levels have changed over time (click to see the values). The image below shows how Liontown Resources's balance sheet has changed over time; if you want to see the precise values, simply click on the image.

ASX:LTR Historical Debt, January 9th 2020
ASX:LTR Historical Debt, January 9th 2020

Of course, the truth is that it is hard to value companies without much revenue or profit. However you can take a look at whether insiders have been buying up shares. If they are buying a significant amount of shares, that's certainly a good thing. You can click here to see if there are insiders buying.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Liontown Resources's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Liontown Resources hasn't been paying dividends, but its TSR of 1359% exceeds its share price return of 1267%, implying it has either spun-off a business, or raised capital at a discount; thereby providing additional value to shareholders.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Liontown Resources shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 231% over one year. That's better than the annualised return of 71% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It is all well and good that insiders have been buying shares, but we suggest you check here to see what price insiders were buying at.

Liontown Resources is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.