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Industry Analysts Just Made A Substantial Upgrade To Their Eagle Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:EGRX) Revenue Forecasts

Shareholders in Eagle Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:EGRX) may be thrilled to learn that the analysts have just delivered a major upgrade to their near-term forecasts. The consensus estimated revenue numbers rose, with their view now clearly much more bullish on the company's business prospects. Investor sentiment seems to be improving too, with the share price up 9.0% to US$35.78 over the past 7 days. Could this big upgrade push the stock even higher?

Following the latest upgrade, the three analysts covering Eagle Pharmaceuticals provided consensus estimates of US$273m revenue in 2023, which would reflect an uneasy 8.5% decline on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are anticipated to fall 11% to US$1.71 in the same period. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$243m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.10 in 2023. So we can see there's been a pretty clear increase in analyst sentiment in recent times, with both revenues and earnings per share receiving a decent lift in the latest estimates.

View our latest analysis for Eagle Pharmaceuticals

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earnings-and-revenue-growth

As a result, it might be a surprise to see that the analysts have cut their price target 9.3% to US$39.00, which could suggest the forecast improvement in performance is not expected to last. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Eagle Pharmaceuticals at US$41.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$37.00. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggests the analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.

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One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We would highlight that sales are expected to reverse, with a forecast 6.9% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2023. That is a notable change from historical growth of 0.2% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 14% annually for the foreseeable future. It's pretty clear that Eagle Pharmaceuticals' revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away from this upgrade is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates for next year, expecting improving business conditions. Fortunately, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting revenues to grow slower than the wider market. The consensus price target fell measurably, with analysts seemingly not reassured by recent business developments, leading to a lower estimate of Eagle Pharmaceuticals' future valuation. Given that analysts appear to be expecting substantial improvement in the sales pipeline, now could be the right time to take another look at Eagle Pharmaceuticals.

Analysts are clearly in love with Eagle Pharmaceuticals at the moment, but before diving in - you should be aware that we've identified some warning flags with the business, such as recent substantial insider selling. For more information, you can click through to our platform to learn more about this and the 2 other warning signs we've identified .

Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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