Advertisement
Australia markets closed
  • ALL ORDS

    7,837.40
    -100.10 (-1.26%)
     
  • ASX 200

    7,575.90
    -107.10 (-1.39%)
     
  • AUD/USD

    0.6543
    +0.0020 (+0.30%)
     
  • OIL

    84.25
    +0.68 (+0.81%)
     
  • GOLD

    2,354.50
    +12.00 (+0.51%)
     
  • Bitcoin AUD

    97,740.25
    +1,149.79 (+1.19%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,383.71
    -12.82 (-0.92%)
     
  • AUD/EUR

    0.6106
    +0.0033 (+0.54%)
     
  • AUD/NZD

    1.0987
    +0.0030 (+0.27%)
     
  • NZX 50

    11,805.09
    -141.34 (-1.18%)
     
  • NASDAQ

    17,596.92
    +166.41 (+0.95%)
     
  • FTSE

    8,126.27
    +47.41 (+0.59%)
     
  • Dow Jones

    38,155.89
    +70.09 (+0.18%)
     
  • DAX

    18,087.72
    +170.44 (+0.95%)
     
  • Hang Seng

    17,651.15
    +366.61 (+2.12%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    37,934.76
    +306.28 (+0.81%)
     

Imagine Owning United Bankshares (NASDAQ:UBSI) And Wondering If The 14% Share Price Slide Is Justified

Many investors define successful investing as beating the market average over the long term. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term United Bankshares, Inc. (NASDAQ:UBSI) shareholders, since the share price is down 14% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 53%. It's up 2.3% in the last seven days.

Check out our latest analysis for United Bankshares

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

ADVERTISEMENT

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, United Bankshares actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 9.0% per year. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

It's strange to see such muted share price performance despite sustained growth. Perhaps a clue lies in other metrics. Therefore, we should look at some other metrics to try to understand why the market is disappointed.

We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 15% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worth investigating United Bankshares further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

NasdaqGS:UBSI Income Statement, January 17th 2020
NasdaqGS:UBSI Income Statement, January 17th 2020

We know that United Bankshares has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? You can see what analysts are predicting for United Bankshares in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of United Bankshares, it has a TSR of -3.9% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

United Bankshares shareholders gained a total return of 12% during the year. But that was short of the market average. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 4.6% per year over five year. This suggests the company might be improving over time. Before spending more time on United Bankshares it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.