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What Is Huntington Ingalls Industries's (NYSE:HII) P/E Ratio After Its Share Price Tanked?

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Huntington Ingalls Industries (NYSE:HII) shares are down a considerable 36% in the last month. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 24% over that longer period.

Assuming nothing else has changed, a lower share price makes a stock more attractive to potential buyers. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). Investors have optimistic expectations of companies with higher P/E ratios, compared to companies with lower P/E ratios.

See our latest analysis for Huntington Ingalls Industries

Does Huntington Ingalls Industries Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 11.81 that sentiment around Huntington Ingalls Industries isn't particularly high. If you look at the image below, you can see Huntington Ingalls Industries has a lower P/E than the average (13.2) in the aerospace & defense industry classification.

NYSE:HII Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 17th 2020
NYSE:HII Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 17th 2020

Its relatively low P/E ratio indicates that Huntington Ingalls Industries shareholders think it will struggle to do as well as other companies in its industry classification. Many investors like to buy stocks when the market is pessimistic about their prospects. If you consider the stock interesting, further research is recommended. For example, I often monitor director buying and selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

P/E ratios primarily reflect market expectations around earnings growth rates. If earnings are growing quickly, then the 'E' in the equation will increase faster than it would otherwise. That means unless the share price increases, the P/E will reduce in a few years. And as that P/E ratio drops, the company will look cheap, unless its share price increases.

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Huntington Ingalls Industries shrunk earnings per share by 31% over the last year. But it has grown its earnings per share by 14% per year over the last five years.

A Limitation: P/E Ratios Ignore Debt and Cash In The Bank

It's important to note that the P/E ratio considers the market capitalization, not the enterprise value. That means it doesn't take debt or cash into account. In theory, a company can lower its future P/E ratio by using cash or debt to invest in growth.

Such spending might be good or bad, overall, but the key point here is that you need to look at debt to understand the P/E ratio in context.

Is Debt Impacting Huntington Ingalls Industries's P/E?

Huntington Ingalls Industries's net debt is 19% of its market cap. This could bring some additional risk, and reduce the number of investment options for management; worth remembering if you compare its P/E to businesses without debt.

The Bottom Line On Huntington Ingalls Industries's P/E Ratio

Huntington Ingalls Industries's P/E is 11.8 which is about average (12.7) in the US market. With modest debt, and a lack of recent growth, it would seem the market is expecting improvement in earnings. What can be absolutely certain is that the market has become significantly less optimistic about Huntington Ingalls Industries over the last month, with the P/E ratio falling from 18.6 back then to 11.8 today. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for a contrarian, it may signal opportunity.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. If the reality for a company is not as bad as the P/E ratio indicates, then the share price should increase as the market realizes this. So this free visualization of the analyst consensus on future earnings could help you make the right decision about whether to buy, sell, or hold.

But note: Huntington Ingalls Industries may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.