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The Hilton Worldwide Holdings (NYSE:HLT) Share Price Has Gained 36% And Shareholders Are Hoping For More

You can receive the average market return by buying a low-cost index fund. But you can make superior returns by picking better-than average stocks. For example, the Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (NYSE:HLT) share price is up 36% in the last three years, slightly above the market return. Also positive was the solid 21% share price increase over the last twelve months.

Check out our latest analysis for Hilton Worldwide Holdings

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

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Hilton Worldwide Holdings was able to grow its EPS at 2.3% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. This EPS growth is lower than the 11% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did three years ago. It's not unusual to see the market 're-rate' a stock, after a few years of growth.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

NYSE:HLT Past and Future Earnings, October 1st 2019
NYSE:HLT Past and Future Earnings, October 1st 2019

Dive deeper into Hilton Worldwide Holdings's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Hilton Worldwide Holdings's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Hilton Worldwide Holdings's TSR for the last 3 years was 104%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Hilton Worldwide Holdings shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 22% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 15% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. Most investors take the time to check the data on insider transactions. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.