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Growthpoint Properties Australia's (ASX:GOZ) Stock Has Shown A Decent Performance: Have Financials A Role To Play?

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  • GOZ.AX

Most readers would already know that Growthpoint Properties Australia's (ASX:GOZ) stock increased by 3.7% over the past three months. As most would know, long-term fundamentals have a strong correlation with market price movements, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. In this article, we decided to focus on Growthpoint Properties Australia's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

View our latest analysis for Growthpoint Properties Australia

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Growthpoint Properties Australia is:

9.3% = AU$276m ÷ AU$3.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each A$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made A$0.09 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Growthpoint Properties Australia's Earnings Growth And 9.3% ROE

When you first look at it, Growthpoint Properties Australia's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 6.5%, is definitely interesting. This probably goes some way in explaining Growthpoint Properties Australia's moderate 6.4% growth over the past five years amongst other factors. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. So there might well be other reasons for the earnings to grow. For example, it is possible that the broader industry is going through a high growth phase, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Growthpoint Properties Australia's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 4.5% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
past-earnings-growth

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is GOZ worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether GOZ is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Growthpoint Properties Australia Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Growthpoint Properties Australia seems to be paying out most of its income as dividends judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 89%, meaning the company retains only 11% of its income. However, this is typical for REITs as they are often required by law to distribute most of their earnings. In spite of this, the company was able to grow its earnings by a fair bit, as we saw above.

Additionally, Growthpoint Properties Australia has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 80%. Regardless, Growthpoint Properties Australia's ROE is speculated to decline to 6.5% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that Growthpoint Properties Australia has some positive attributes. Namely, its significant earnings growth, to which its moderate rate of return likely contributed. While the company is paying out most of its earnings as dividends, it has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's probably a good sign. With that said, on studying the latest analyst forecasts, we found that while the company has seen growth in its past earnings, analysts expect its future earnings to shrink. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

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