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Earnings Estimates Moving Higher for Velocity Financial (VEL): Time to Buy?

Velocity Financial (VEL) could be a solid choice for investors given the company's remarkably improving earnings outlook. While the stock has been a strong performer lately, this trend might continue since analysts are still raising their earnings estimates for the company.

The rising trend in estimate revisions, which is a result of growing analyst optimism on the earnings prospects of this company, should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements. Our stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- has this insight at its core.

The five-grade Zacks Rank system, which ranges from a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive externally-audited track record of outperformance, with Zacks #1 Ranked stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 2008.

Consensus earnings estimates for the next quarter and full year have moved considerably higher for Velocity Financial, as there has been strong agreement among the covering analysts in raising estimates.

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Current-Quarter Estimate Revisions

The company is expected to earn $0.34 per share for the current quarter, which represents a year-over-year change of +9.68%.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Velocity Financial has increased 13.33% over the last 30 days, as one estimate has gone higher compared to no negative revisions.

Current-Year Estimate Revisions

For the full year, the earnings estimate of $1.40 per share represents a change of +12.9% from the year-ago number.

In terms of estimate revisions, the trend for the current year also appears quite encouraging for Velocity Financial. Over the past month, one estimate has moved higher compared to no negative revisions, helping the consensus estimate increase 14.75%.

Favorable Zacks Rank

The promising estimate revisions have helped Velocity Financial earn a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). The Zacks Rank is a tried-and-tested rating tool that helps investors effectively harness the power of earnings estimate revisions and make the right investment decision. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Our research shows that stocks with Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and 2 (Buy) significantly outperform the S&P 500.

Bottom Line

Velocity Financial shares have added 25.5% over the past four weeks, suggesting that investors are betting on its impressive estimate revisions. So, you may consider adding it to your portfolio right away to benefit from its earnings growth prospects.

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Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL) : Free Stock Analysis Report

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Zacks Investment Research