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What Does Oil Search Limited’s (ASX:OSH) Share Price Indicate?

Oil Search Limited (ASX:OSH), an energy company based in Papua New Guinea, saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the ASX. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s examine Oil Search’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity. See our latest analysis for Oil Search

Is Oil Search still cheap?

The stock is currently trading at AU$8.16 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 62% compared to my intrinsic value of A$5.03. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! In addition to this, it seems like Oil Search’s share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to fall back down to an attractive buying range, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What does the future of Oil Search look like?

ASX:OSH Future Profit Jun 6th 18
ASX:OSH Future Profit Jun 6th 18

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. Oil Search’s earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 63.45%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? OSH’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe OSH should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

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Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on OSH for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for OSH, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Oil Search. You can find everything you need to know about Oil Search in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Oil Search, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.