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How Does Gildan Activewear's (TSE:GIL) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After The Share Price Drop?

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Gildan Activewear (TSE:GIL) shares are down a considerable 57% in the last month. Given the 68% drop over the last year, some shareholders might be worried that they have become bagholders. For those wondering, a bagholder is someone who keeps holding a losing stock indefinitely, without taking the time to consider its prospects carefully, going forward.

All else being equal, a share price drop should make a stock more attractive to potential investors. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). The implication here is that long term investors have an opportunity when expectations of a company are too low. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E implies that investors have high expectations of what a company can achieve compared to a company with a low P/E ratio.

Check out our latest analysis for Gildan Activewear

Does Gildan Activewear Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

Gildan Activewear's P/E of 8.46 indicates relatively low sentiment towards the stock. The image below shows that Gildan Activewear has a lower P/E than the average (10.5) P/E for companies in the luxury industry.

TSX:GIL Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 20th 2020
TSX:GIL Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 20th 2020

This suggests that market participants think Gildan Activewear will underperform other companies in its industry. While current expectations are low, the stock could be undervalued if the situation is better than the market assumes. If you consider the stock interesting, further research is recommended. For example, I often monitor director buying and selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

If earnings fall then in the future the 'E' will be lower. That means even if the current P/E is low, it will increase over time if the share price stays flat. A higher P/E should indicate the stock is expensive relative to others -- and that may encourage shareholders to sell.

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Gildan Activewear shrunk earnings per share by 23% over the last year. But it has grown its earnings per share by 2.2% per year over the last five years. And EPS is down 4.8% a year, over the last 3 years. This might lead to low expectations.

A Limitation: P/E Ratios Ignore Debt and Cash In The Bank

Don't forget that the P/E ratio considers market capitalization. In other words, it does not consider any debt or cash that the company may have on the balance sheet. In theory, a company can lower its future P/E ratio by using cash or debt to invest in growth.

Such expenditure might be good or bad, in the long term, but the point here is that the balance sheet is not reflected by this ratio.

Is Debt Impacting Gildan Activewear's P/E?

Net debt is 36% of Gildan Activewear's market cap. While that's enough to warrant consideration, it doesn't really concern us.

The Bottom Line On Gildan Activewear's P/E Ratio

Gildan Activewear has a P/E of 8.5. That's below the average in the CA market, which is 10.1. With only modest debt, it's likely the lack of EPS growth at least partially explains the pessimism implied by the P/E ratio. Given Gildan Activewear's P/E ratio has declined from 19.6 to 8.5 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is more worried about the business today, than it was back then. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for deep value investors this stock might justify some research.

When the market is wrong about a stock, it gives savvy investors an opportunity. If the reality for a company is not as bad as the P/E ratio indicates, then the share price should increase as the market realizes this. So this free visual report on analyst forecasts could hold the key to an excellent investment decision.

Of course you might be able to find a better stock than Gildan Activewear. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.