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Does Boadicea Resources's (ASX:BOA) Share Price Gain of 81% Match Its Business Performance?

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Boadicea Resources Ltd (ASX:BOA) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 15% in the last month. While that might be a setback, it doesn't negate the nice returns received over the last twelve months. In that time we've seen the stock easily surpass the market return, with a gain of 81%.

Check out our latest analysis for Boadicea Resources

Boadicea Resources recorded just AU$19,356 in revenue over the last twelve months, which isn't really enough for us to consider it to have a proven product. As a result, we think it's unlikely shareholders are paying much attention to current revenue, but rather speculating on growth in the years to come. It seems likely some shareholders believe that Boadicea Resources will find or develop a valuable new mine before too long.

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As a general rule, if a company doesn't have much revenue, and it loses money, then it is a high risk investment. There is almost always a chance they will need to raise more capital, and their progress - and share price - will dictate how dilutive that is to current holders. While some companies like this go on to deliver on their plan, making good money for shareholders, many end in painful losses and eventual de-listing. Some Boadicea Resources investors have already had a taste of the sweet taste stocks like this can leave in the mouth, as they gain popularity and attract speculative capital.

Boadicea Resources had cash in excess of all liabilities of just AU$682k when it last reported (December 2018). So if it has not already moved to replenish reserves, we think the near-term chances of a capital raising event are pretty high. It's a testament to the popularity of the business plan that the share price gained 81% in the last year, despite the weak balance sheet. The image below shows how Boadicea Resources's balance sheet has changed over time; if you want to see the precise values, simply click on the image.

ASX:BOA Historical Debt, May 30th 2019
ASX:BOA Historical Debt, May 30th 2019

In reality it's hard to have much certainty when valuing a business that has neither revenue or profit. However you can take a look at whether insiders have been buying up shares. It's often positive if so, assuming the buying is sustained and meaningful. You can click here to see if there are insiders buying.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Boadicea Resources shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 81% over the last year. That's better than the annualised return of 4.7% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. If you would like to research Boadicea Resources in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.

Of course Boadicea Resources may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.