Advertisement
Australia markets closed
  • ALL ORDS

    7,837.40
    -100.10 (-1.26%)
     
  • ASX 200

    7,575.90
    -107.10 (-1.39%)
     
  • AUD/USD

    0.6535
    +0.0012 (+0.18%)
     
  • OIL

    83.66
    +0.09 (+0.11%)
     
  • GOLD

    2,349.60
    +7.10 (+0.30%)
     
  • Bitcoin AUD

    97,740.05
    -1,748.62 (-1.76%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,383.71
    -12.82 (-0.92%)
     
  • AUD/EUR

    0.6108
    +0.0035 (+0.57%)
     
  • AUD/NZD

    1.0994
    +0.0037 (+0.33%)
     
  • NZX 50

    11,805.09
    -141.34 (-1.18%)
     
  • NASDAQ

    17,718.30
    +287.79 (+1.65%)
     
  • FTSE

    8,139.83
    +60.97 (+0.75%)
     
  • Dow Jones

    38,239.66
    +153.86 (+0.40%)
     
  • DAX

    18,161.01
    +243.73 (+1.36%)
     
  • Hang Seng

    17,651.15
    +366.61 (+2.12%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    37,934.76
    +306.28 (+0.81%)
     

How Does AVZ Minerals Limited (ASX:AVZ) Affect Your Portfolio Volatility?

Want to participate in a research study? Help shape the future of investing tools and earn a $60 gift card!

If you're interested in AVZ Minerals Limited (ASX:AVZ), then you might want to consider its beta (a measure of share price volatility) in order to understand how the stock could impact your portfolio. Volatility is considered to be a measure of risk in modern finance theory. Investors may think of volatility as falling into two main categories. The first category is company specific volatility. This can be dealt with by limiting your exposure to any particular stock. The other type, which cannot be diversified away, is the volatility of the entire market. Every stock in the market is exposed to this volatility, which is linked to the fact that stocks prices are correlated in an efficient market.

Some stocks mimic the volatility of the market quite closely, while others demonstrate muted, exagerrated or uncorrelated price movements. Beta can be a useful tool to understand how much a stock is influenced by market risk (volatility). However, Warren Buffett said 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk' in his 2014 letter to investors. So, while useful, beta is not the only metric to consider. To use beta as an investor, you must first understand that the overall market has a beta of one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, while those with a beta below one are either less volatile or poorly correlated with the market.

ADVERTISEMENT

Check out our latest analysis for AVZ Minerals

What we can learn from AVZ's beta value

Zooming in on AVZ Minerals, we see it has a five year beta of 1.61. This is above 1, so historically its share price has been influenced by the broader volatility of the stock market. Based on this history, investors should be aware that AVZ Minerals are likely to rise strongly in times of greed, but sell off in times of fear. Many would argue that beta is useful in position sizing, but fundamental metrics such as revenue and earnings are more important overall. You can see AVZ Minerals's revenue and earnings in the image below.

ASX:AVZ Income Statement, April 9th 2019
ASX:AVZ Income Statement, April 9th 2019

Does AVZ's size influence the expected beta?

AVZ Minerals is a noticeably small company, with a market capitalisation of AU$94m. Most companies this size are not always actively traded. It has a relatively high beta, suggesting it is fairly actively traded for a company of its size. Because it takes less capital to move the share price of a small company like this, when a stock this size is actively traded it is quite often more sensitive to market volatility than similar large companies.

What this means for you:

Beta only tells us that the AVZ Minerals share price is sensitive to broader market movements. This could indicate that it is a high growth company, or is heavily influenced by sentiment because it is speculative. Alternatively, it could have operating leverage in its business model. Ultimately, beta is an interesting metric, but there's plenty more to learn. In order to fully understand whether AVZ is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as AVZ Minerals’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you dive deeper by considering the following:

  1. Financial Health: Are AVZ’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.

  2. Past Track Record: Has AVZ been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of AVZ's historicals for more clarity.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.