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Did Yojee's (ASX:YOJ) Share Price Deserve to Gain 35%?

Yojee Limited (ASX:YOJ) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 30% in the last quarter. But at least the stock is up over the last three years. Arguably you'd have been better off buying an index fund, because the gain of 35% in three years isn't amazing.

Check out our latest analysis for Yojee

We don't think Yojee's revenue of AU$508,552 is enough to establish significant demand. So it seems that the investors focused more on what could be, than paying attention to the current revenues (or lack thereof). It seems likely some shareholders believe that Yojee will significantly advance the business plan before too long.

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We think companies that have neither significant revenues nor profits are pretty high risk. There is usually a significant chance that they will need more money for business development, putting them at the mercy of capital markets. So the share price itself impacts the value of the shares (as it determines the cost of capital). While some such companies go on to make revenue, profits, and generate value, others get hyped up by hopeful naifs before eventually going bankrupt.

Yojee had cash in excess of all liabilities of just AU$2.7m when it last reported (June 2019). So if it hasn't remedied the situation already, it will almost certainly have to raise more capital soon. Given how low on cash the it got, investors must really like its potential for the share price to be up 136% per year, over 3 years . The image below shows how Yojee's balance sheet has changed over time; if you want to see the precise values, simply click on the image. The image below shows how Yojee's balance sheet has changed over time; if you want to see the precise values, simply click on the image.

ASX:YOJ Historical Debt, December 23rd 2019
ASX:YOJ Historical Debt, December 23rd 2019

In reality it's hard to have much certainty when valuing a business that has neither revenue or profit. One thing you can do is check if company insiders are buying shares. If they are buying a significant amount of shares, that's certainly a good thing. You can click here to see if there are insiders buying.

A Different Perspective

The last twelve months weren't great for Yojee shares, which cost holders 21%, while the market was up about 29%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Fortunately the longer term story is brighter, with total returns averaging about 11% per year over three years. Sometimes when a good quality long term winner has a weak period, it's turns out to be an opportunity, but you really need to be sure that the quality is there. If you would like to research Yojee in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.

Of course Yojee may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.