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Did You Miss Charter Hall Retail Real Estate Investment Trust’s (ASX:CQR) 32% Share Price Gain?

When we invest, we’re generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. To wit, the Charter Hall Retail Real Estate Investment Trust share price has climbed 32% in five years, easily topping the market return of 7.2% (ignoring dividends). However, more recent returns haven’t been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 30% in the last year, including dividends.

See our latest analysis for Charter Hall Retail Real Estate Investment Trust

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company’s share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

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During five years of share price growth, Charter Hall Retail Real Estate Investment Trust actually saw its EPS drop 1.5% per year. By glancing at these numbers, we’d posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Since the change in EPS doesn’t seem to correlate with the change in share price, it’s worth taking a look at other metrics.

In fact, the dividend has increased over time, which is a positive. Maybe dividend investors have helped support the share price. The revenue growth of about 4.1% per year might also encourage buyers.

You can see how revenue and earnings have changed over time in the image below, (click on the chart to see cashflow).

ASX:CQR Income Statement, March 18th 2019
ASX:CQR Income Statement, March 18th 2019

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Charter Hall Retail Real Estate Investment Trust the TSR over the last 5 years was 82%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It’s good to see that Charter Hall Retail Real Estate Investment Trust has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 30% in the last twelve months. That’s including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 13% per year), it would seem that the stock’s performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. Investors who like to make money usually check up on insider purchases, such as the price paid, and total amount bought. You can find out about the insider purchases of Charter Hall Retail Real Estate Investment Trust by clicking this link.

Charter Hall Retail Real Estate Investment Trust is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.