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Copa Holdings (CPA) Q1 Earnings & Revenues Beat, Up Y/Y

Copa Holdings, S.A. CPA first-quarter 2024 earnings per share of $4.19 surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.27 and improved 5% year over year. Revenues of $893.5 million beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $846.2 million and rose 3% year over year on the back of upbeat passenger revenues.

Passenger revenues (which contributed 96.1% to the top line) increased 3% from first-quarter 2023, owing to capacity increase. Cargo and mail revenues fell 5.8% to $21.91 million due to lower cargo yields. Other operating revenues were $12.83 million, up 28.4% year over year.

Operating margin improved 1.9 percentage points from the year-ago quarter, owing to a continued robust demand environment and CPA’s focus on maintaining low ex-fuel unit costs.

Copa Holdings, S.A. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Copa Holdings, S.A. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Copa Holdings, S.A. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Copa Holdings, S.A. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Copa Holdings, S.A. Quote

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On a consolidated basis, Copa Holdings traffic (measured in revenue passenger miles) grew 7.1% year over year and capacity (measured in available seat miles) increased 8%. With traffic growth lagging capacity expansion, the load factor (percentage of seats filled by passengers) decreased 0.7 percentage points to 86% in the reported quarter.

Passenger revenue per available seat miles decreased 4.6% year over year to 12.1 cents. Additionally, revenue per available seat mile (RASM) declined 4.6% to 12.5 cents. Cost per available seat mile dipped 6.9%. Excluding fuel, the metric fell 2%. The average fuel price per gallon slipped 13.9% to $2.90.

Total operating expenses increased 0.5% year over year to $677.5 million, owing to higher capacity, offset by lower fuel, maintenance, materials and repairs costs, and sales and distribution costs. Expenses on wages, salaries and other employee benefits rose 11.4%. Sales and distribution costs decreased 9.6%. Passenger servicing costs grew 45.6%. Flight operation costs increased 13.1%.

Copa Holdings exited the first quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $170.52 million compared with $206.37 million at the fourth-quarter end. Total debt, including lease liabilities, was $1.7 billion, in line sequentially.

CPA ended the first quarter with a consolidated fleet of 106 aircraft, which comprises 67 Boeing 737-800s, 29 Boeing 737 MAX 9s, 9 Boeing 737-700s, and 1 Boeing 737-800 freighter.

2024 Outlook

CPA’s management expects consolidated capacity to grow 10% year over year. Management anticipates an operating margin of 21%-23%. The load factor is expected to be 87%. RASM is expected to be 12.0 cents. Non-fuel unit costs and fuel cost per gallon are anticipated to be 5.9 cents and $2.85 per gallon, respectively.

Currently, CPA carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Q1 Performances of Some Transportation Companies

Delta Air LinesDAL reported first-quarter 2024 earnings (excluding 39 cents from non-recurring items) of 45 cents per share, which comfortably beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 36 cents. Earnings increased 80% on a year-over-year basis.

Revenues of $13.75 billion surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $12.84 billion and increased 7.75% on a year-over-year basis, driven by strong air-travel demand. Adjusted operating revenues (excluding third-party refinery sales) came in at $12.56 billion, up 6% year over year. Delta Air expects adjusted earnings of $2.20-$2.50 per share for second-quarter 2024.

CSX Corporation's CSX first-quarter 2024 earnings per share of 46 cents beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by a penny. However, the bottom line declined 4% year over year.

Total revenues of $3.68 billion surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.65 billion. Yet, the top line decreased 1% year over year due to lower fuel surcharge, a decline in other revenues, low trucking revenues and reduced export coal prices.

United Airlines Holdings, Inc.UAL reported first-quarter 2024 loss per share (excluding 23 cents from non-recurring items) of 15 cents, which was narrower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 53 cents. In the year-ago reported quarter, UAL reported a loss of 63 cents per share.

Operating revenues of $12,539 million beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $12,428.4 million. The top line increased 9.7% year over year due to upbeat air-travel demand. This was driven by a 10.1% rise in passenger revenues (accounting for 90.2% of the top line) to $11,313 million. Almost 39,325 passengers traveled on UAL flights in the first quarter, up 6.8% year over year.

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