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What Is Connexion Telematics's (ASX:CXZ) P/E Ratio After Its Share Price Tanked?

Connexion Telematics (ASX:CXZ) shares have retraced a considerable 33% in the last month. But there's still good reason for shareholders to be content; the stock has gained 18% in the last 90 days. Of course, longer term many wish they owned shares -- the price of which has soared 150% in the last twelve months.

Assuming nothing else has changed, a lower share price makes a stock more attractive to potential buyers. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). The implication here is that long term investors have an opportunity when expectations of a company are too low. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E ratio means that investors have a high expectation about future growth, while a low P/E ratio means they have low expectations about future growth.

See our latest analysis for Connexion Telematics

How Does Connexion Telematics's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

Connexion Telematics's P/E is 35.27. As you can see below Connexion Telematics has a P/E ratio that is fairly close for the average for the software industry, which is 36.2.

ASX:CXZ Price Estimation Relative to Market, December 7th 2019
ASX:CXZ Price Estimation Relative to Market, December 7th 2019

Connexion Telematics's P/E tells us that market participants think its prospects are roughly in line with its industry. If the company has better than average prospects, then the market might be underestimating it. I would further inform my view by checking insider buying and selling., among other things.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Generally speaking the rate of earnings growth has a profound impact on a company's P/E multiple. That's because companies that grow earnings per share quickly will rapidly increase the 'E' in the equation. That means even if the current P/E is high, it will reduce over time if the share price stays flat. And as that P/E ratio drops, the company will look cheap, unless its share price increases.

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Connexion Telematics saw earnings per share decrease by 23% last year.

Don't Forget: The P/E Does Not Account For Debt or Bank Deposits

The 'Price' in P/E reflects the market capitalization of the company. Thus, the metric does not reflect cash or debt held by the company. The exact same company would hypothetically deserve a higher P/E ratio if it had a strong balance sheet, than if it had a weak one with lots of debt, because a cashed up company can spend on growth.

Such spending might be good or bad, overall, but the key point here is that you need to look at debt to understand the P/E ratio in context.

Connexion Telematics's Balance Sheet

Since Connexion Telematics holds net cash of AU$939k, it can spend on growth, justifying a higher P/E ratio than otherwise.

The Bottom Line On Connexion Telematics's P/E Ratio

Connexion Telematics trades on a P/E ratio of 35.3, which is above its market average of 18.6. The recent drop in earnings per share would make some investors cautious, but the net cash position means the company has time to improve: and the high P/E suggests the market thinks it will. What can be absolutely certain is that the market has become significantly less optimistic about Connexion Telematics over the last month, with the P/E ratio falling from 52.9 back then to 35.3 today. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for a contrarian, it may signal opportunity.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, 'In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine. We don't have analyst forecasts, but you might want to assess this data-rich visualization of earnings, revenue and cash flow.

But note: Connexion Telematics may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.