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BlueScope Steel (ASX:BSL) Is Increasing Its Dividend To AU$0.44

BlueScope Steel Limited's (ASX:BSL) dividend will be increasing to AU$0.44 on 13th of October. This takes the annual payment to 2.0% of the current stock price, which unfortunately is below what the industry is paying.

Check out our latest analysis for BlueScope Steel

BlueScope Steel's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

The dividend yield is a little bit low, but sustainability of the payments is also an important part of evaluating an income stock. However, BlueScope Steel's earnings easily cover the dividend. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

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Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise exponentially over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio will be 18%, which makes us pretty comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

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Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2011, the first annual payment was AU$0.24, compared to the most recent full-year payment of AU$0.31. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 2.6% per annum over that time. Modest growth in the dividend is good to see, but we think this is offset by historical cuts to the payments. It is hard to live on a dividend income if the company's earnings are not consistent.

BlueScope Steel May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Although it's important to note that BlueScope Steel's earnings per share has basically not grown from where it was five years ago, which could erode the purchasing power of the dividend over time. If BlueScope Steel is struggling to find viable investments, it always has the option to increase its payout ratio to pay more to shareholders.

Our Thoughts On BlueScope Steel's Dividend

Overall, this is a reasonable dividend, and it being raised is an added bonus. While the payout ratios are a good sign, we are less enthusiastic about the company's dividend record. Taking all of this into consideration, the dividend looks viable moving forward, but investors should be mindful that the company has pushed the boundaries of sustainability in the past and may do so again.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for BlueScope Steel that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high performing dividend stock.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.