At AU$14.00, Is Monadelphous Group Limited (ASX:MND) Worth Looking At Closely?
Monadelphous Group Limited (ASX:MND), is not the largest company out there, but it led the ASX gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s take a look at Monadelphous Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.
Check out our latest analysis for Monadelphous Group
Is Monadelphous Group Still Cheap?
According to my valuation model, Monadelphous Group seems to be fairly priced at around 17% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Monadelphous Group today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth A$16.89, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Monadelphous Group’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
What does the future of Monadelphous Group look like?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Monadelphous Group's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 58%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? MND’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on MND, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you want to dive deeper into Monadelphous Group, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example - Monadelphous Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If you are no longer interested in Monadelphous Group, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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