On the 05 October 2018, CML Group Limited (ASX:CGR) will be paying shareholders an upcoming dividend amount of AU$0.0075 per share. However, investors must have bought the company’s stock before 13 September 2018 in order to qualify for the payment. That means you have only 4 days left! Is this future income stream a compelling catalyst for dividend investors to think about the stock as an investment today? Let’s take a look at CML Group’s most recent financial data to examine its dividend characteristics in more detail.
How I analyze a dividend stock
When researching a dividend stock, I always follow the following screening criteria:
- Is its annual yield among the top 25% of dividend-paying companies?
- Has it consistently paid a stable dividend without missing a payment or drastically cutting payout?
- Has dividend per share risen in the past couple of years?
- Is is able to pay the current rate of dividends from its earnings?
- Will it have the ability to keep paying its dividends going forward?
How well does CML Group fit our criteria?
The company currently pays out 80.9% of its earnings as a dividend, according to its trailing twelve-month data, which means that the dividend is covered by earnings. However, going forward, analysts expect CGR’s payout to fall to 49.6% of its earnings, which leads to a dividend yield of 5.3%. However, EPS should increase to A$0.046, meaning that the lower payout ratio does not necessarily implicate a lower dividend payment.
If you want to dive deeper into the sustainability of a certain payout ratio, you may wish to consider the cash flow of the business. A business with strong cash flow can sustain a higher divided payout ratio than a company with weak cash flow.
If there is one thing that you want to be reliable in your life, it’s dividend stocks and their constant income stream. Unfortunately, it is really too early to view CML Group as a dividend investment. It has only been consistently paying dividends for 9 years, however, standard practice for reliable payers is to look for a 10-year minimum track record.
Compared to its peers, CML Group has a yield of 2.9%, which is high for Professional Services stocks but still below the market’s top dividend payers.
Whilst there are few things you may like about CML Group from a dividend stock perspective, the truth is that overall it probably is not the best choice for a dividend investor. But if you are not exclusively a dividend investor, the stock could still be an interesting investment opportunity. Given that this is purely a dividend analysis, I urge potential investors to try and get a good understanding of the underlying business and its fundamentals before deciding on an investment. I’ve put together three pertinent aspects you should further research:
- Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for CGR’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for CGR’s outlook.
- Valuation: What is CGR worth today? Even if the stock is a cash cow, it’s not worth an infinite price. The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether CGR is currently mispriced by the market.
- Dividend Rockstars: Are there better dividend payers with stronger fundamentals out there? Check out our free list of these great stocks here.
To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.
The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at email@example.com.