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These 2 Consumer Discretionary Stocks Could Beat Earnings: Why They Should Be on Your Radar

Earnings are arguably the most important single number on a company's quarterly financial report. Wall Street clearly dives into all of the other metrics and management's input, but the EPS figure helps cut through all the noise.

The earnings figure itself is key, but a beat or miss on the bottom line can sometimes be just as, if not more, important. Therefore, investors should consider paying close attention to these earnings surprises, as a big beat can help a stock climb even higher.

2 Stocks to Add to Your Watchlist

The Zacks Expected Surprise Prediction, or ESP, works by locking in on the most up-to-date analyst earnings revisions because they can be more accurate than estimates from weeks or even months before the actual release date. The thinking is pretty straightforward: analysts who provide earnings estimates closer to the report are likely to have more information. With this in mind, the Expected Surprise Prediction compares the Most Accurate Estimate (being the most recent) against the overall Zacks Consensus Estimate. The percentage difference provides the ESP figure.

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The final step today is to look at a stock that meets our ESP qualifications. Boyd Gaming (BYD) earns a Zacks Rank #3 27 days from its next quarterly earnings release on April 23, 2024, and its Most Accurate Estimate comes in at $1.59 a share.

BYD has an Earnings ESP figure of 1.07%, which, as explained above, is calculated by taking the percentage difference between the $1.59 Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.57.

BYD is part of a big group of Consumer Discretionary stocks that boast a positive ESP, and investors may want to take a look at Nike (NKE) as well.

Nike, which is readying to report earnings on July 4, 2024, sits at a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) right now. It's Most Accurate Estimate is currently $0.86 a share, and NKE is 99 days out from its next earnings report.

Nike's Earnings ESP figure currently stands at 0.3% after taking the percentage difference between its Most Accurate Estimate and its Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.85.

BYD and NKE's positive ESP figures tell us that both stocks have a good chance at beating analyst expectations in their next earnings report.

Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported

Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>

Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report

Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) : Free Stock Analysis Report

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) : Free Stock Analysis Report

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Zacks Investment Research