|Day's range||1,337.00 - 1,348.90|
IAMGOLD (IAG) was the best-performing gold stock of 2017, returning 51.4% for the year. It significantly outperformed the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) as well as the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD). In 2018, however, the equation has somewhat reversed. Its stock has returned -4.5% year-to-date as of April 17.
The International Monetary Fund (or IMF) also warned on April 18, 2018, that the unexpected rise in US inflation could cause significant global tensions, which could force central banks to respond firmly. It added that a hike in inflation in the US could lead the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates faster than expected. The director of the IMF’s monetary and capital markets department, Tobias Adrian, said, “What we are flagging is that at some point markets see shocks in inflation that raise inflation uncertainty and when that happens, that is associated with a rise in long-term interest rates and that might lead to a tightening in financial conditions.” While he said that the uncertainty regarding US inflation is very low, markets could have an outsized reaction to any spike.
The International Monetary Fund (or IMF) also warned that the downside risks to world financial stability have increased over the past six months. In this context, it added, “Valuations of risky assets are still stretched, with some late-stage credit cycle dynamics emerging, reminiscent of the pre-crisis period.” This it believes could lead to the unwinding of risks, leading to higher risk premiums and repricing of risky assets. The IMF’s view of US equity markets is similar to that of Morgan Stanley’s (MS).
At extreme levels, these ratings could even signal a change in direction, so it’s important for investors to track this data. In the senior and intermediate gold miner space (GDX)(GDXJ), analysts are the most bullish on Goldcorp (GG), assigning it 65% “buy” and 5% “sell” ratings.
Silver markets rallied a bit during the trading session on Thursday, as we have broken above the $17.30 level. This market continues to look for bullish overall, but it is very choppy in general, as it is per usual.
Crude oil markets went back and forth during the day on Thursday, gaining slightly, but showing that there is a lot of indecision. We have recently rallied significantly though, so we might be simply catching our collective breath before making the next move.
Gold prices rose ~3% year-to-date (or YTD) after rising ~13% in 2017. Gold prices are affected by a number of factors, including rate hike expectations, trade war fears, the US dollar, and increasing volatility.
Gold prices continued to trade sideways, as U.S. yields gained traction on Thursday buoyed the greenback and paving the way for lower gold prices. Strong jobless claims and a solid Philly fed survey buoyed the dollar. U.S. initial jobless claims dipped 1k to 232k in the week ended April 14 after falling 9k to 233k in the prior week.
Recent market unrest has had a significant effect on precious metals and the US dollar, which influences dollar-denominated precious metals and mining stocks. In this part of the series, we’ll look at miners’ RSI (relative strength index) scores and implied volatility. The miners we’ve selected for our analysis are Wheaton Precious Metals (SLW), Randgold Resources (GOLD), AngloGold Ashanti (AU), and IAMGOLD (IAG). In the last 30 days, miners’ performance has been mixed. GOLD and AU have fallen 2.5% and 0.11%, respectively, while SLW and IAG have risen 6.8% and 13.2%.
Investing.com – Gold prices were slightly higher on Thursday while the U.S. dollar steadied amidst higher U.S. 10-year treasury yield.
Crude oil markets rally to get on Wednesday, as we continue to show signs of strength. Part of the reason of course is the concern about tensions in the Middle East, and I think that ultimately, we will find reasons to go higher, at least in the short term.
Gold markets broke out above the $1350 level during the day on Wednesday, but then pulled back to look for support. We did find it there, so I think that we could continue to see an upward move. However, keep a lot of caution in your trading plans as gold tends to be very noisy.
The EUR/USD pair has pulled back slightly during the trading session on Wednesday, testing the 1.2350 level, and an area that has been massively resistive in the past. I think this shows that we are ready to continue going higher, perhaps reaching towards the vital 1.25 level above.
The EUR/GBP got a bit of a boost as deflationary fears entered the picture in the United Kingdom. However, there is a significant amount of noise in the immediate area where we are trading, so it makes sense that we may have gotten a bit of a pullback. I think the next 24 hours could be very crucial for this market.
Investing.com – Gold prices remained supported as a subdued dollar continued to underpinned upside in the precious metal despite easing geopolitical tensions.
Gold prices moved higher but remain range bound as the dollar was strong capping upside movements in the yellow metal. Silver prices broke out but gold could not following the path of its less expensive precious metal. Gold prices moved higher on Wednesday bouncing at support near the 10-day moving average at 1,341.
Investing.com - Gold prices moved higher on Wednesday, as the dollar saw little movement and investors looked ahead to references from the Federal Reserve.
There is no specific reason for the volatility in the gold market today. Traders seemed to be locked into the dollar/gold relationship though.
We’re looking at the possibility of a two-sided trade because the EIA report calls for a build in crude stocks while the API report showed a drawdown. WTI and Brent crude oil could extend their gains if the EIA report shows a decline in crude inventories rather than an increase.
Investing.com - Gold prices edged lower on Wednesday weighed down by gains in the dollar and improving risk appetite which dampened safe haven demand for bullion.
US stock markets rallied during the trading session on Tuesday, showing signs of strength after breaking above minor resistance barriers. Now that we have done that, we can focus on even larger ones.
Gold markets initially tried to rally during the trading session on Tuesday but found the $1350 level to be far too resistant. By pulling back from there, the market will more than likely find value hunters sooner rather than later.
Investing.com - Crude oil prices struggled for direction but settle higher as investor focus shifted to U.S. crude inventory data expected to show a draw in domestic oil supplies.