|Day's range||13.51 - 14.47|
|52-week range||10.17 - 36.20|
The Australia dollar is usually one of the major beneficiaries of a global “risk on” rally in markets like the one this year given its close economic ties to China. The latest decline came as Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Philip Lowe shifted to a neutral policy outlook as he acknowledged increased economic risks at home and abroad. Indeed, the nation’s economic data has been consistently falling below analysts’ forecasts since the beginning of December as measured by the Citi Economic Surprise Indexes amid a weakening housing market and high consumer debt loads.
The CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, mirrors this myopic attitude, falling on Monday to its lowest level since early October. “We caution against chasing the rally in risk assets, particularly in areas vulnerable to growth downgrades, geopolitical risks or sudden shifts in supply/demand dynamics,” Richard Turnill, BlackRock’s global chief investment strategist, wrote in a research note Monday.
Cboe Global Markets Inc. fined a trading firm for trying to include improper options trades in an auction tied to its marquee product: the VIX volatility gauge. Last year, questions escalated over whether a monthly auction tied to the VIX was being manipulated by traders. On Friday, Cboe said in a disciplinary filing that Akuna Securities LLC submitted S&P 500 option orders to increase the likelihood that certain derivatives bets would be included in the auction that helps determine final VIX settlement values.
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Everyone knew China’s economy was slowing, so blaming the Asian nation for a setback was just a convenient excuse to mask a deteriorating business, like when retailers blame the weather for a slump in sales. Apple’s announcement probably would have had only a short-term negative impact on equities, with traders coming around to the idea that Apple’s problems were of its own making if not for a disappointing manufacturing report Thursday morning from the Institute for Supply Management. Its December index of new orders — a key leading indicator of future activity — fell to a level that barely registered as growth.
Tobias Levkovich, Citi’s chief U.S. equity strategist, is one of the latest Wall Street prognosticators to trim his S&P 500 price target for the year-end 2019.
Trading volatility was a big deal before the VIX index spiked 115% in a day. Now, with stocks whipsawing, investors should consider it again.
The year was defined by a record number of VIX spikes. But for all the turmoil in trade and geopolitics, markets may calm a bit.
Buy stocks when there’s news that the U.S. and China are making headway in resolving the escalating trade war. To recap, stocks were weighed down early Monday after news broke over the weekend that China summoned U.S. Ambassador Terry Branstad to explain the U.S. request to extradite Huawei Technologies Co. Chief Financial Officer Meng Wanzhou from Canada, where she is being held. Stocks then opened big on Tuesday on the news that U.S. and China officials held a call to discuss trade, followed by a Bloomberg News report that China is mulling a proposal to reduce tariffs on cars made in the U.S. to 15 percent from the current 40 percent — bringing the U.S. back in line with what other countries pay.
Brutal start to the week as tech gets slaughtered on Wall Street. Plus - Wall street getting bearish on Facebook, this as the stock hits a new 52 week low. It's the call of the day. Veteran VIX trader Jim Carney joins us to tell us what the fear gauge telling us about panic on the street. Plus - Amazon shares down today, but its pharma play might actually be starting in earnest. Catch The Final Round at 3:00 p.m. ET with Jen Rogers, Yahoo Finance's Editor-in-Chief Andy Serwer, markets correspondent Myles Udland and more.