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Why Is TEGNA Inc. (TGNA) Up 2.6% Since Last Earnings Report?

A month has gone by since the last earnings report for TEGNA Inc. (TGNA). Shares have added about 2.6% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.

Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is TEGNA Inc. due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.

TEGNA Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Rise Y/Y

TEGNA’s fourth-quarter 2022 non-GAAP earnings of 98 cents per share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 8.89% and increased 71.9% on a year-over-year basis.

Revenues increased 18.4% year over year to $917.1 million but missed the consensus mark by 1.17%. The year-over-year growth was driven by strong growth in political revenues, despite a decline in advertising and marketing services revenues, resulting from political displacement and macroeconomic headwinds.

Notably, in February, Tegna entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by an affiliate of Standard General for $24 per share in cash and become a private company. The transaction, which was unanimously approved by the Tegna Board, has an equity value of around $5.4 billion and an enterprise value of $8.6 billion, including the assumption of debt.

On Nov 18, TEGNA announced that Standard General’s acquisition of Tegna received approval from Team Telecom which submitted a filing with the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) confirming it has no objections to the transaction.

However, recently, the FCC put off consideration of the proposed purchase raising concerns that the transaction might trigger price increases for consumers as TV stations boost charges for cable providers. The deal might also reduce local content on TV stations.

Quarter in Detail

Subscription (40.6% of revenues) revenues increased 10.8% year over year to $372.3 million, driven by rate increases and partially offset by subscriber declines. TEGNA has renewed retransmission consent agreements representing approximately 30% of its subscribers since prior quarter.

Advertising and Marketing services (38.5% of revenues) revenues decreased 11.8% year over year to $352.9 million due to displacement because of strong political revenues, continued macroeconomic headwinds and reduced sports betting advertising with fewer new market launches from the prior year. Automotive advertising revenues rebounded in the quarter with strong year-over-year growth.

Political (19.6% of revenues) revenues were $179.4 million, up from $26.6 million reported in the year-ago quarter.

Other revenues (1.4% of revenues) were $12.5 million, up 4.1% year over year.

Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA increased 47.1% year over year to $360.7 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 770 basis points (bps) from the year-ago period to 39.3%.

Non-GAAP operating expenses (64% of revenues) of $586.5 million were up 4.5% year over year, with the increases predominantly driven by investments in Premion’s growth and programing costs.

Non-GAAP operating income increased 55% year over year to $330.6 million. The operating margin expanded 850 bps from the year-ago period to 36%.

Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

As of Dec 31, 2022, total cash was $551.7 million compared with $377 million as of Sep 30, 2022.

Total debt was $3.09 billion and net leverage was 2.7 times as of Dec 31, 2022.

Free cash flow in the fourth quarter was $297.1 million compared with $148.4 million reported in the previous quarter.

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How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?

In the past month, investors have witnessed a downward trend in estimates review.

VGM Scores

Currently, TEGNA Inc. has a subpar Growth Score of D, however its Momentum Score is doing a lot better with an A. Following the exact same course, the stock was allocated a grade of A on the value side, putting it in the top quintile for this investment strategy.

Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of A. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.

Outlook

Estimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of this revision indicates a downward shift. Notably, TEGNA Inc. has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.

Performance of an Industry Player

TEGNA Inc. is part of the Zacks Broadcast Radio and Television industry. Over the past month, Grupo Televisa (TV), a stock from the same industry, has gained 6.9%. The company reported its results for the quarter ended March 2023 more than a month ago.

Grupo Televisa reported revenues of $992.32 million in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +9.4%. EPS of -$0.08 for the same period compares with -$0.18 a year ago.

For the current quarter, Grupo Televisa is expected to post earnings of $0.05 per share, indicating a change of -81.5% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate remained unchanged over the last 30 days.

Grupo Televisa has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) based on the overall direction and magnitude of estimate revisions. Additionally, the stock has a VGM Score of D.

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