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Why Centuria Office REIT (ASX:COF) Could Be Worth Watching

Centuria Office REIT (ASX:COF), which is in the reits business, and is based in Australia, led the ASX gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s examine Centuria Office REIT’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

View our latest analysis for Centuria Office REIT

What's the opportunity in Centuria Office REIT?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 12.96x is currently trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 9.52x, which means if you buy Centuria Office REIT today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe Centuria Office REIT should be trading in this range, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. In addition to this, it seems like Centuria Office REIT’s share price is quite stable, which could mean there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s trading around the price multiples of other industry peers. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What does the future of Centuria Office REIT look like?

ASX:COF Past and Future Earnings May 7th 2020
ASX:COF Past and Future Earnings May 7th 2020

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Centuria Office REIT’s earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 82%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in COF’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at COF? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

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Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on COF, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for COF, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Centuria Office REIT. You can find everything you need to know about Centuria Office REIT in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Centuria Office REIT, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.