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Weekly Trading Forecast: Fed Hike Speculation Gives Way to ECB Taper

DailyFX.com -

The Dollar ended this past week with a discernible lack of direction - despite holding just off 13-year highs. The FOMC decision is still more than a week away. Meanwhile, the ECB rate decision and Euro volatility are at hand.

US Dollar Forecast - NFPs Leaves Dollar Hanging But Indecision Won’t Hold Out Until Fed

Both the Dollar and benchmark US equity indexes were positioned for a dramatic move through the end of this past week.

Euro Forecast - EUR/USD Set for Volatility with Italian Referendum, ECB Rate Decision in Sight

While a ‘No’ outcome would feed into the growing mindset that economic populism is sweeping the West’s advanced economic democracies, it would more or less keep the current political system in Italy in place; the status quo would persist. Markets might act worried initially, selling EUR/USD and Italian equities in the neighborhood 1-3% and 2-4% on the results. EUR/USD could move to test the 1.0462 cycle low established in March 2015.

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Australian Dollar Forecast - Australian Dollar May Suffer as the RBA Resurrects Rate Cut Bets

The Australian Dollar may face selling pressure as soft news-flow and rising yields inspire dovish RBA rhetoric, rekindling near-term rate cut speculation.

Weekly Trading Forecast: Fed Hike Speculation Gives Way to ECB Taper
Weekly Trading Forecast: Fed Hike Speculation Gives Way to ECB Taper

See what live coverage is scheduled to cover key event risk for the FX and capital markets on theDailyFX Webinar Calendar.

See the DailyFX Analysts' 4Q forecasts for the Dollar, Euro, Pound, Equities and Gold in the DailyFX Trading Guides page.


original source

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