Advertisement
Australia markets closed
  • ALL ORDS

    8,015.80
    +72.20 (+0.91%)
     
  • AUD/USD

    0.6614
    +0.0001 (+0.01%)
     
  • ASX 200

    7,778.10
    +77.80 (+1.01%)
     
  • OIL

    80.36
    +0.03 (+0.04%)
     
  • GOLD

    2,325.10
    -3.90 (-0.17%)
     
  • Bitcoin AUD

    98,542.15
    -949.40 (-0.95%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,355.38
    -34.02 (-2.45%)
     

United Natural Foods, Inc. (NYSE:UNFI) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

United Natural Foods, Inc. (NYSE:UNFI) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript June 5, 2024

United Natural Foods, Inc. reports earnings inline with expectations. Reported EPS is $0.1 EPS, expectations were $0.1.

Operator: Hello. My name is Ellie, and I will be your operator for today. I would like to welcome everyone to UNFI Fiscal 2024 Third Quarter Earnings Call. Please note that all participants are in listen-only mode. After the prepared remarks, we will have a question-and-answer session. It is now my pleasure to turn today's speaking over to Steve Bloomquist, Vice President, Investor Relations. Steve, please go ahead.

Steve Bloomquist: Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us on UNFI's third quarter fiscal 2024 earnings conference call. By now, you should have received a copy of the earnings release issued this morning. The press release and earnings presentation, which management will speak to, are available under the Investors section of the company's website at unfi.com on the Events tab. We've also included a supplemental disclosure file in Microsoft Excel with key financial information. Joining me for today's call are Sandy Douglas, our Chief Executive Officer; and Matteo Tarditi, our President and Chief Financial Officer. Sandy and Matteo will provide a business update, after which we'll take your questions. Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that comments made by management during today's call may contain forward-looking statements.

ADVERTISEMENT

These forward-looking statements include plans, expectations, estimates, and projections that might involve significant risks and uncertainties. These risks are discussed in the company's earnings release and SEC filings. Actual results may differ materially from the results discussed in these forward-looking statements. And lastly, I'd like to point out that during today's call, management will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Definitions and reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP financial measures are included in our press release and the end of our earnings presentation. I'd ask you to turn to Slide 6 of our presentation as I turn the call over to Sandy.

READ NEXT: Michael Burry Is Selling These Stocks and 10 Best Dividend Stocks Yielding At Least 7%.

Sandy Douglas: Thanks, Steve, and thank you all for joining us this morning. We delivered another quarter of results in line with our fiscal 2024 plan, and we progressed on our near-term operational and efficiency initiatives to reset profitability. We've also taken important actions to strengthen our foundation, including extending our relationship with Whole Foods through 2032 and extending the maturity of our term loan to 2031. Our ongoing Board and management-led financial review is also nearing an important milestone, which is our new multiyear strategic plan that will begin in fiscal 2025. We have benefited from the Board's engagement during this process, and we will continue the review to ensure strong guidance and oversight as we implement the plan and evaluate further opportunities to improve our capital structure and drive short- and long-term shareholder returns.

Today, I will discuss our view of the industry, how it informs our go-forward strategy and some of the financial improvements we expect to generate as a result. I will also preview our new multiyear plan, which will include a disciplined resource reallocation and prioritization to enhance the drivers of customer and supplier success, including the expansion of our high-margin services portfolio, which we believe will incrementally re-margin our business and drive a significant increase in free cash flow, a reduction in our leverage and an overall strengthening of our balance sheet starting in fiscal 2025. Given our industry-leading position with a diversified product and service offering and our expansive and innovative customer base, we have a unique perspective from which to evaluate the evolving dynamics impacting food retailers, suppliers, and consumers.

We've applied this perspective to analyze our business against today's operating environment, which is markedly different from three years ago when UNFI last refreshed its long-term strategy. Our analysis points to how we can support retailers to differentiate and compete by providing increasingly relevant product and service offers to help them deliver a compelling consumer experience and a unique assortment in an environment where many consumers remain sensitive to price and large mass and discount retailers are gaining share. Our analysis of our current and potential customer base has identified that there is a resilient segment of the industry that totals over $90 billion of sales today and includes many conventional, specialty, natural and ethnic operators.

It is expected to grow at a low-single digit rate over the long term and will likely be led by natural and specialty volumes. Importantly, the large majority of our existing customers are in this segment, and we believe these retailers will be increasingly important to suppliers focused on brand building and profitable growth. Our strategic work and customer interactions has given us greater conviction about the importance of the professional and digital services we offer and how we can generate mutually compelling economics. As we've discussed on prior calls, we've been working to utilize the competitive advantages we have through our scale, relationships, data and insights to develop new business initiatives that help our retailers and suppliers compete.

Most recently, we've launched our UNFI Media Network in partnership with Swiftly. We believe this initiative will help democratize modern media marketing capabilities for our retail customers and provide consumer products companies with unique data insights from across our network that services more than 30,000 diverse customer locations and covers over 90% of the US population. We expect to develop and invest or partner to provide other capital-light services in the future. We have also continued to advance our revamped commercial go-to-market program for suppliers and expect this to be additive to our results starting in the next fiscal year. Turning to Slide 7, in addition to refinements in our customer and supplier strategies, our updated view leads to important actions we're taking to better position our business for the future.

These actions represent a shift in our strategic direction to continue to re-margin and increase the cash flow generation of our business focused on controllable variables in four key areas: intensifying and expanding our network optimization, reducing annual capital spending, optimizing our cost structure, and materially reducing our net working capital position. We see a meaningful opportunity to streamline our supply chain footprint and drive capital efficiencies beyond what we've already actioned. As we've discussed previously, we've been focused on realizing network optimization benefits, but we now see an even larger opportunity to do so. We are still scoping and prioritizing the options and details, but we expect these changes to our DC network will meaningfully reduce our ongoing capital expenditure requirements and fixed asset base, resulting in higher free cash flow and improved returns on invested capital.

We've also worked to reevaluate and prioritize capital investment needs and see substantial opportunity to reduce CapEx beyond the benefits we anticipate from our larger network optimization plan. We currently plan to spend approximately $300 million in fiscal 2025, a $70 million reduction compared to our updated outlook of $370 million for this fiscal year. This reduced level of capital spend continues to prioritize maintenance and targeted network enablement and technology enhancements. Importantly, we believe this will help us to reallocate resources and strengthen our broader business and balance sheet while enhancing our ability to strategically invest in higher margin parts of the business such as services. Additionally, we've worked to better understand the full operating potential of our business, the improvements that we can make without incremental capital expenditures and the long-term expense efficiencies we can realize.

We expect to build on the initial work we've done over the last year to improve our expense structure and believe we have an opportunity to recognize additional efficiencies over the next few years, approaching a similar magnitude to the $150 million that we've already removed over the last year. This expense optimization includes taking a more unified and strategic approach to our customer and supplier-facing work, as well as better prioritizing our corporate resources consistent with our updated strategy. We believe this will improve our financial trajectory and the commercial experience for our customers and suppliers. Working capital management is another area where we believe we can drive stronger free cash flow by improving metrics that have been pressured in recent years, partially due to the challenges of the pandemic and our desire to ensure product availability for our customers and partially due to business complexity.

We've thoroughly scrutinized our working capital processes and believe there is a sizable opportunity to improve cash flows by lowering inventory days on hand while reducing days of sales outstanding and optimizing days to pay. We expect to be able to accomplish this without impacting our customer experience. We are beginning to take actions to drive benefits from these opportunities. We are taking a similar approach to achieving this fundamental operational improvement that we did in tackling and rapidly achieving the $150 million in annualized near-term reductions we previously discussed as well as the broader supply chain efficiencies we've actioned. This includes reductions in transportation costs and shrink, which is about 30 basis points lower as a percent of sales than the rate at which we exited fiscal 2023.

A close-up view of organic fruits and vegetables in a local retail store.
A close-up view of organic fruits and vegetables in a local retail store.

In summary, we've made significant progress in our financial review and are beginning to see tangible benefits to our financial performance stemming from this process. Our new strategy will reallocate and prioritize our resources to enhance the drivers of customer and supplier success including the expansion of our high-margin services portfolio, which we believe will result in a re-margining of our business, a significant increase in free cash flow, a reduction in our leverage and an overall strengthening of our balance sheet. We expect these actions will lead to significant and sustainable returns for our shareholders. We're using the findings of our work to inform our fiscal 2025 budgeting process, which is underway now. We will provide further detail on our multiyear strategic plan and fiscal 2025 outlook after we complete our target setting process.

One call out is that we expect to generate free cash flow approaching $100 million next fiscal year and plan to use these funds to reduce net debt. And over the next several years, we expect to generate stable and dependable profit and cash flow growth, improving returns on capital and reducing net leverage with our more focused strategy. While we're still working to finalize our multiyear strategic plan based on the full spectrum of controllable levers we've identified, we see a path to reduce net leverage to 2.5 turns or less and to increase ROIC to the higher historical levels we've previously generated by fiscal year-end 2027. Our leadership team is highly motivated and directly accountable for rapidly improving profitability, free cash flow, net leverage, and financial and shareholder returns.

We look forward to updating you on our progress during our Q4 call. And I'll now turn the call over to Matteo to provide more details on our Q3 results.

CHECK OUT Jim Cramer Says You Shouldn't Buy These 11 Stocks and 12 Best Alternatives to E*Trade

Matteo Tarditi: Thank you, Sandy, and good morning, everyone. I'm pleased to join you for my first earnings call as President and CFO of UNFI. I'm excited to be here and look forward to building relationships with the UNFI investment community. Prior to joining UNFI, I spent my career at GE building lean and efficient businesses and executing turnarounds. I'm confident this experience will be valuable as we implement the new strategy Sandy just described. With that, let's dive into our Q3 results, balance sheet and cash flow update. Please turn to Slide 9. Our sales came in at $7.5 billion, which is roughly flat compared to last year's third quarter. Overall, we saw muted but improving volume performance and decelerating inflation.

Unit volume started to sequentially improve during the quarter, which resulted in wholesale volumes declining by nearly 100 basis points less than in Q2. This favorable trend has continued into the fourth quarter. As anticipated, our product inflation rate slowed modestly from Q2 to approximately 2% and we continue to expect inflation to gradually decline as we move through the fourth quarter. Our retail business continue to see top-line pressure as many consumers in our retail markets remain highly price sensitive. Our team led by our new retail CEO is working with our Cub franchisees to take actions to accelerate the performance of our Cub brand, a Minneapolis St. Paul market leader. We also believe we are rapidly cycling changes in government benefits, which we expect will help improve retail comparisons.

Moving to Slide 10, let's review profitability drivers in the quarter. Our gross margin rate excluding LIFO improved 30 basis points sequentially over the second quarter; it was about flat compared to the prior-year period. Within the segments, our wholesale gross margin rate increased about 10 basis points, while our retail gross margin rate declined more than 100 basis points, partially reflecting the challenging operational environment and our efforts to increase store traffic and units per transaction. Our improving wholesale margin includes the benefit of continuous shrink improvement, which is now approaching pre-COVID levels at roughly 30 basis points as a percent of sales. As we highlighted last quarter, we believe that there is further opportunity to drive this even lower, which improves our profitability and has no impact on customers or suppliers.

Adjusted EBITDA declined $29 million compared to last year. However, this quarter included $13 million in incentive compensation expense compared to last year, where results included a $20 million benefit resulting from the reversal of incentive compensation due to financial underperformance relative to our targets. Excluding this impact, we improved our operating expense rate by 10 basis points year-over-year, which reflects our continued focus on driving performance by managing what we can control. We have conducted further G&A rationalization, particularly focused on our corporate organization to help drive savings and increase agility as we prepare to execute our new strategic plan. The savings are expected to yield more significant benefits in fiscal 2025 as we fully annualize these actions.

As Sandy also highlighted, we expect to build on these efforts by further reducing our structural cost as part of our new strategy over the next few years. We believe there is a meaningful opportunity to create a more dynamic customer- and supplier-facing organization. We'll have additional detail on this as we work through these efforts. In summary, excluding incentive compensation in the third quarter of both years, adjusted EBITDA would have increased by $4 million, which reflects the benefits of our near-term cost savings initiatives and supply chain efficiency improvements, including our shrink management efforts. Looking at Slide 11, during the quarter, we generated about $49 million of free cash flow, enabling us to reduce net debt by $30 million during the quarter.

We also took strategic actions in the first week of the fourth quarter to solidify our long-term capital structure by amending and extending our secured term loan by 5.5 years to 2031. We continue to believe that a secured term loan is an important part of our capital structure as we value the prepayment flexibility this loan provides us. The majority of our outstanding debt is prepayable without penalty. As Sandy detailed in his remarks, improving free cash flow and reducing net debt is an important focus of the financial review and we have identified meaningful controllable levers that we believe will enable us to return to generating significant free cash flow and further repay debt starting next fiscal year. We're already undertaking work to help bolster cash generation and are quickly implementing daily management actions to optimize working capital levels, while we execute the longer-term structural plans to increase free cash flow through EBITDA, CapEx discipline and lower interest expense.

We believe there is a sizable opportunity to drive reduction to inventory days on hand in the short term without impacting the customer experience. We have assembled a cross functional group that spans network operations, finance, logistics and our commercial team to help us structurally improve our processes to unlock this cash and preventing efficiencies from creeping back into the business. This work is expected to be a meaningful part of helping us meet our fiscal 2025 free cash flow goals and we will have an update on it in our 4Q earnings call in September. Turning to Slide 12, let's review our revised fiscal 2024 outlook. We continue to be focused on closing out the year with improving operational and financial performance. Based on our expectations for 4Q, we are maintaining our outlook for sales, slightly raising the midpoint of our adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS ranges and reflecting charges related to cost reduction actions, which lower the guidance ranges for the net income and EPS.

We now expect adjusted EBITDA of $505 million for the year at the midpoint of our updated outlook, which is up from the $500 million midpoint in our prior outlook. We will continue to look for opportunities to optimize our performance by driving execution across controllable variables. We're also reducing our outlook for capital and cloud investments from approximately $400 million for the year to around $370 million. This partially reflects our more focused strategic capital allocation priorities. Moving to Slide 13, I'm pleased to be joining UNFI at such a pivotal time. I'm optimistic about the future of our company and the returns I believe we can generate for our shareholders. There is significant value creation opportunity from improving processes and efficiency, which is a vital part of my prior experience.

I'm motivated and energized to tackle these challenges so that we can create a financially resilient company for our shareholders, customers, suppliers and associates. I value dialogue with all our stakeholders and look forward to developing relationships with our investor community. We will seek your feedback as we work to execute our updated value creation strategy. With that, operator, please open the line for questions.

While we acknowledge the potential of UNFI as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than NVIDIA but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

To continue reading the Q&A session, please click here.