Advertisement
Australia markets open in 4 hours 26 minutes
  • ALL ORDS

    8,010.50
    -5.30 (-0.07%)
     
  • AUD/USD

    0.6671
    +0.0012 (+0.18%)
     
  • ASX 200

    7,769.70
    -8.40 (-0.11%)
     
  • OIL

    81.47
    -0.10 (-0.12%)
     
  • GOLD

    2,342.70
    -4.20 (-0.18%)
     
  • Bitcoin AUD

    97,188.30
    +480.73 (+0.50%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,382.70
    +44.95 (+3.36%)
     

Travis Perkins plc's (LON:TPK) Stock Is Going Strong: Have Financials A Role To Play?

Most readers would already be aware that Travis Perkins' (LON:TPK) stock increased significantly by 20% over the past three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Travis Perkins' ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Travis Perkins

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

ADVERTISEMENT

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Travis Perkins is:

1.9% = UK£38m ÷ UK£2.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each £1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made £0.02 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Travis Perkins' Earnings Growth And 1.9% ROE

It is quite clear that Travis Perkins' ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 14%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Despite this, surprisingly, Travis Perkins saw an exceptional 30% net income growth over the past five years. Therefore, there could be other reasons behind this growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

As a next step, we compared Travis Perkins' net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 17%.

past-earnings-growth
past-earnings-growth

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is TPK fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Travis Perkins Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Travis Perkins' three-year median payout ratio is a pretty moderate 37%, meaning the company retains 63% of its income. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the high growth we discussed above, it looks like Travis Perkins is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

Additionally, Travis Perkins has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 42%. Still, forecasts suggest that Travis Perkins' future ROE will rise to 7.8% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Summary

Overall, we feel that Travis Perkins certainly does have some positive factors to consider. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. On studying current analyst estimates, we found that analysts expect the company to continue its recent growth streak. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.