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Those Who Purchased Quantify Technology Holdings (ASX:QFY) Shares A Year Ago Have A 31% Loss To Show For It

It is doubtless a positive to see that the Quantify Technology Holdings Limited (ASX:QFY) share price has gained some 38% in the last three months. But that is minimal compensation for the share price under-performance over the last year. The cold reality is that the stock has dropped 31% in one year, under-performing the market.

View our latest analysis for Quantify Technology Holdings

With just AU$121,371 worth of revenue in twelve months, we don't think the market considers Quantify Technology Holdings to have proven its business plan. You have to wonder why venture capitalists aren't funding it. As a result, we think it's unlikely shareholders are paying much attention to current revenue, but rather speculating on growth in the years to come. It seems likely some shareholders believe that Quantify Technology Holdings will significantly advance the business plan before too long.

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As a general rule, if a company doesn't have much revenue, and it loses money, then it is a high risk investment. There is usually a significant chance that they will need more money for business development, putting them at the mercy of capital markets. So the share price itself impacts the value of the shares (as it determines the cost of capital). While some such companies go on to make revenue, profits, and generate value, others get hyped up by hopeful naifs before eventually going bankrupt.

Our data indicates that Quantify Technology Holdings had AU$1.4m more in total liabilities than it had cash, when it last reported in June 2019. That puts it in the highest risk category, according to our analysis. But with the share price diving 31% in the last year , it's probably fair to say that some shareholders no longer believe the company will succeed. You can click on the image below to see (in greater detail) how Quantify Technology Holdings's cash levels have changed over time. You can click on the image below to see (in greater detail) how Quantify Technology Holdings's cash levels have changed over time.

ASX:QFY Historical Debt, December 13th 2019
ASX:QFY Historical Debt, December 13th 2019

In reality it's hard to have much certainty when valuing a business that has neither revenue or profit. What if insiders are ditching the stock hand over fist? I would feel more nervous about the company if that were so. It only takes a moment for you to check whether we have identified any insider sales recently.

A Different Perspective

Given that the market gained 24% in the last year, Quantify Technology Holdings shareholders might be miffed that they lost 31%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Putting aside the last twelve months, it's good to see the share price has rebounded by 38%, in the last ninety days. Let's just hope this isn't the widely-feared 'dead cat bounce' (which would indicate further declines to come). Investors who like to make money usually check up on insider purchases, such as the price paid, and total amount bought. You can find out about the insider purchases of Quantify Technology Holdings by clicking this link.

Quantify Technology Holdings is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.