Advertisement
Australia markets open in 9 hours 9 minutes
  • ALL ORDS

    7,937.50
    -0.40 (-0.01%)
     
  • AUD/USD

    0.6505
    +0.0005 (+0.07%)
     
  • ASX 200

    7,683.00
    -0.50 (-0.01%)
     
  • OIL

    82.19
    -0.62 (-0.75%)
     
  • GOLD

    2,355.70
    +17.30 (+0.74%)
     
  • Bitcoin AUD

    97,474.95
    -2,736.47 (-2.73%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,374.35
    -8.22 (-0.59%)
     

We Think Legacy Iron Ore (ASX:LCY) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth

Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Legacy Iron Ore (ASX:LCY) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

Check out our latest analysis for Legacy Iron Ore

How Long Is Legacy Iron Ore's Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When Legacy Iron Ore last reported its balance sheet in September 2021, it had zero debt and cash worth AU$8.1m. In the last year, its cash burn was AU$3.6m. Therefore, from September 2021 it had 2.2 years of cash runway. That's decent, giving the company a couple years to develop its business. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
debt-equity-history-analysis

How Is Legacy Iron Ore's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Whilst it's great to see that Legacy Iron Ore has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced AU$321k, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. As a result, we think it's a bit early to focus on the revenue growth, so we'll limit ourselves to looking at how the cash burn is changing over time. Over the last year its cash burn actually increased by a very significant 57%. Oftentimes, increased cash burn simply means a company is accelerating its business development, but one should always be mindful that this causes the cash runway to shrink. Legacy Iron Ore makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. We prefer most of the stocks on this list of stocks that analysts expect to grow.

How Easily Can Legacy Iron Ore Raise Cash?

While Legacy Iron Ore does have a solid cash runway, its cash burn trajectory may have some shareholders thinking ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

ADVERTISEMENT

Legacy Iron Ore has a market capitalisation of AU$141m and burnt through AU$3.6m last year, which is 2.6% of the company's market value. So it could almost certainly just borrow a little to fund another year's growth, or else easily raise the cash by issuing a few shares.

Is Legacy Iron Ore's Cash Burn A Worry?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Legacy Iron Ore's cash burn. For example, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap suggests that the company is on a good path. While its increasing cash burn wasn't great, the other factors mentioned in this article more than make up for weakness on that measure. Based on the factors mentioned in this article, we think its cash burn situation warrants some attention from shareholders, but we don't think they should be worried. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 3 warning signs for Legacy Iron Ore (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.