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Should You Think About Buying Guess?, Inc. (NYSE:GES) Now?

Guess?, Inc. (NYSE:GES), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the NYSE over the last few months. The recent rally in share prices has nudged the company in the right direction, though it still falls short of its yearly peak. As a stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Guess?’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Guess?

What's The Opportunity In Guess??

Great news for investors – Guess? is still trading at a fairly cheap price. Our valuation model shows that the intrinsic value for the stock is $46.33, but it is currently trading at US$28.60 on the share market, meaning that there is still an opportunity to buy now. However, given that Guess?’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from Guess??

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Guess?, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -16%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? Although GES is currently undervalued, the adverse prospect of negative growth brings about some degree of risk. We recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to GES, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

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Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on GES for a while, but hesitant on making the leap, we recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current undervaluation, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.

If you want to dive deeper into Guess?, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Guess? (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

If you are no longer interested in Guess?, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.