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We Think African Gold (ASX:A1G) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether African Gold (ASX:A1G) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

See our latest analysis for African Gold

Does African Gold Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When African Gold last reported its balance sheet in June 2019, it had zero debt and cash worth AU$3.4m. In the last year, its cash burn was AU$1.3m. That means it had a cash runway of about 2.6 years as of June 2019. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

ASX:A1G Historical Debt, March 10th 2020
ASX:A1G Historical Debt, March 10th 2020

How Easily Can African Gold Raise Cash?

Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

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African Gold's cash burn of AU$1.3m is about 25% of its AU$5.2m market capitalisation. That's fairly notable cash burn, so if the company had to sell shares to cover the cost of another year's operations, shareholders would suffer some costly dilution.

How Risky Is African Gold's Cash Burn Situation?

Given it's an early stage company, we don't have a lot of data with which to judge African Gold's cash burn. However, it is fair to say that its cash runway gave us comfort. To put it simply, we think its cash burn situation is totally fine given it is still developing its business. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 4 warning signs for African Gold (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.