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Progressive's (PGR) Q1 Earnings, Revenues Top, Premiums Rise Y/Y

The Progressive Corporation’s PGR first-quarter 2024 earnings per share of $3.83 beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.20. The bottom line improved nearly eight times year over year.

Shares gained 2.8% in the pre-market trading session to reflect the outperformance.

Behind the Headlines

Net premiums written were $19 billion in the quarter, up 18% from $16.1 billion a year ago. Premiums beat our estimate of $17.6 billion.

Net premiums earned grew 19% to $16 billion and beat our estimate of $14.4 billion.

Operating revenues of $17.1 billion beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.4% and increased 20.1% year over year.

The Progressive Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

The Progressive Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
The Progressive Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

The Progressive Corporation price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | The Progressive Corporation Quote

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Net realized gain on securities was $115.6 billion compared with $71.8 million in the year-ago quarter.

Total expenses of $14.4 billion increased 4% year over year.

Combined ratio — the percentage of premiums paid out as claims and expenses — improved 1290 basis points (bps) from the prior-year quarter’s level to 86.1.

March Policies in Force

Policies in force were soft in the Personal Auto segment, increasing 7% from the year-ago month’s figure to 20.4 million. Special Lines improved 8% to 6.1 million.

In Progressive’s Personal Auto segment, Direct Auto increased 8% year over year to 11.9 million, while Agency Auto increased 5% to 8.6 million.

Progressive’s Commercial Auto segment rose 3% year over year to 1.1 million. The Property business had 3.2 million policies in force, up 10%.

Financial Update

Progressive’s book value per share was $37.24 as of Mar 31, 2024, up 33.7% from $27.97 as of Mar 31, 2023.

Return on equity in March 2024 was 34% compared with 0.1% a year ago. The total debt-to-total capital ratio improved 350 bps to 24.

Zacks Rank

Progressive currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Upcoming Releases

The Travelers Companies TRV will report first-quarter 2024 results on Apr 17, before market open. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter earnings per share is pegged at $4.69, suggesting an increase of 14.1% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.

TRV’s earnings beat estimates in two of the last four quarters while missing in the other two.

RLI Corporation RLI will report first-quarter 2024 results on Apr 22, after market close. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter earnings per share is pegged at $1.63, indicating no change from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.

RLI’s earnings beat estimates in three of the last four quarters while missing in one.

W.R. Berkley Corporation WRB will report first-quarter 2024 results on Apr 23, before market open. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter earnings per share is pegged at $1.47, suggesting an increase of 47% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.

WRB’s earnings beat estimates in three of the last four quarters while missing in one.

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RLI Corp. (RLI) : Free Stock Analysis Report

The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) : Free Stock Analysis Report

W.R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) : Free Stock Analysis Report

The Progressive Corporation (PGR) : Free Stock Analysis Report

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