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Portfolio Analysis: A Captainless $1.58 Million Portfolio

Has your financial advisor contacted you lately? It matters because global stock markets are down and if you're portfolio is down even more, it could be a sign of major flaws with your portfolio's design. Often, flaws that are camouflaged by rising markets are exposed and exploited in declining markets.

Ultimately, advisors should take responsibility for the investment recommendations they make and the advice given should always be suitable to a person's age, risk tolerance and life circumstances. Sadly, some financial professionals -- even those with years of experience and a handsome-looking resume -- don't operate this way.

My latest portfolio report card is for B.R., a 79-year old widow from New Jersey with a $1,585,000 investment account divided across an inherited IRA, family trust and taxable brokerage account. She became concerned about her investments when her financial advisor abruptly resigned from her account and left her hanging.

B.R. says generating income from her portfolio is the most crucial aspect of her investment plan. Nevertheless, she describes her investment strategy: "Honestly, I leave it up to the advisor. I just need to pay off my mortgage, bills and my goal is to enjoy life without touching the principal."

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What kind of grade does B.R.'s investment portfolio get?

Security/Asset

Ticker

Value

Asset Class

Money market

SWMXX

$393,388

Cash

WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity

HEDJ

$236,755

Stocks

ProShares UltraShort 7-10 Yr US Tsy

UST

$145,649

Short bonds

Vanguard US REIT

VNQ

$80,540

US Real Estate

iShares Gold

IAU

$75,922

Gold

WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity

DXJ

$75,290

Stocks

ProShares UltraPro Short Dow 30

SDOW

$65,178

Short stocks

Pimco 15+ Yr US TIPS

LTPZ

$63,263

US TIPS

ProShares Short Emerging Mkts

EUM

$39,415

Short stocks

UBS Alerian MLP Infrastructure ETN

MLPI

$36,701

MLP

Top 10 holdings value

$1,212,101

Cost. Cutting investment cost, commissions, and ongoing asset fees should be a priority for all investors. Why? Because the less you spend, the more you keep. How does B.R. do?

The portfolio includes 17 exchange-traded funds, six stocks and cash. Annual fund expenses on the ETFs range from 0.12 percent to 0.95 percent, and the advisory fee of 0.95 percent pushes up the cost of this portfolio to just over $22,000 annually (including both fund and advisory fees).

The cost of B.R.'s portfolio is 7 times higher versus a blended benchmark of index ETFs matching her same asset mix.

Diversification. Investment portfolios missing broad market exposure to the five major asset classes -- stocks, bonds, commodities, real estate and cash -- do not pass the diversification grade.

It's nice to see that B.R.'s portfolio has exposure to U.S. and international stocks, U.S. real estate, bonds, commodities and cash. However, most of the ETFs being used for exposure to these areas within her portfolio are narrowly focused or speculative funds that use leverage with long/short exposure.

A closer look at B.R.'s top 10 portfolio holdings also reveals that only one fund -- the Vanguard REIT ETF (VNQ) -- is really a core building block with broad exposure, while the remaining holdings are concentrated in non-core funds with a tactical flair. Her advisor has erringly built the core of B.R.'s portfolio using non-core assets. It's faulty construction that's akin to building a summer beach house in the Rocky Mountains.

Risk. B.R.'s overall asset mix is 45.5 percent stocks, 7 percent bonds, 18 percent U.S. real estate, 4.7 percent gold and 24.8 percent cash. Although income and preserving capital is her main goal, her advisor has purchased ETFs that short stocks, bonds and currencies and made them among her top holdings.

Another way to view B.R.'s portfolio is to ask how would it perform during a bear market. A market decline of 20 to 40 percent would subject her combined portfolios to significant potential market losses of $237,000 to $474,000. In other words, even with almost one-quarter of her portfolio in cash, she still wouldn't be shielded from a severe setback.

Taxes. The bulk of B.R.'s assets are held in a tax-deferred IRA ($1.3 million), however the remaining portion is invested in taxable accounts with dividend-paying real estate investment trusts, such as Annaly Capital Management (NLY) and W.P. Carey (WPC) as the main holdings. Why didn't her advisor take deliberate steps to minimize her tax liabilities by holding REITs inside her tax-deferred IRA?

B.R.'s portfolio could definitely use some smarter asset location and her advisor clearly never earned the 0.95 percent fee he's been siphoning from her account.

Performance. Regardless of whether the stock market is up or down, your investment performance will either confirm or deny the architectural soundness of your portfolio's design. Additionally, the attention you give -- or fail to give -- to cost, risk, diversification and taxes has a direct influence on your bottom-line results.

Over the past year, B.R.'s portfolio fell 2.9 percent (-$51,641) compared to a gain of 1.72 percent for the index benchmark matching this same asset mix. She underperformed the benchmark by significant margin of 4.62 percent.

The final grade. B.R.'s final portfolio report card grade is "D" (poor). This means her portfolio scored poorly in all five grading categories and has major structural flaws.

A 20 to 40 percent market decline would inflict serious damage to her net worth and could force her to make uncomfortable lifestyle changes. Diversification is sloppy and omits core holdings with broad and low-cost exposure to the major asset classes.

Moreover, her advisor incorrectly used non-core assets like long/short ETFs and sector commodities funds for her portfolio's core instead of using broadly diversified building blocks. And now that he's bailed, his mistakes have been compounded by a portfolio without a captain. Putting a 79-year old widow into fastmoving tactical funds when her goal is simply to generate safe income is downright negligent.



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