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Is There Now An Opportunity In Goodman Group (ASX:GMG)?

Let’s talk about the popular Goodman Group (ASX:GMG). The company’s shares saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the ASX. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Goodman Group’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists. Check out our latest analysis for Goodman Group

Is Goodman Group still cheap?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 12% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Goodman Group today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is A$8.45, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. In addition to this, it seems like Goodman Group’s share price is quite stable, which could mean there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s fairly valued. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

Can we expect growth from Goodman Group?

ASX:GMG Future Profit Jun 6th 18
ASX:GMG Future Profit Jun 6th 18

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 41.85% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Goodman Group. It looks like higher cash flows is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? GMG’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

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Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on GMG, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Goodman Group. You can find everything you need to know about Goodman Group in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Goodman Group, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.