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Should You Investigate Mosaic Brands Limited (ASX:MOZ) At AU$0.79?

While Mosaic Brands Limited (ASX:MOZ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the ASX over the last few months, increasing to AU$1.16 at one point, and dropping to the lows of AU$0.78. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Mosaic Brands' current trading price of AU$0.79 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Mosaic Brands’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Mosaic Brands

What is Mosaic Brands worth?

The stock is currently trading at AU$0.79 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 38% compared to my intrinsic value of A$0.57. This means that the opportunity to buy Mosaic Brands at a good price has disappeared! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Mosaic Brands’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will Mosaic Brands generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with a relatively muted revenue growth of 0.5% expected over the next couple of years, growth doesn’t seem like a key driver for a buy decision for Mosaic Brands, at least in the short term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in MOZ’s future outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe MOZ should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

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Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on MOZ for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into Mosaic Brands, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, Mosaic Brands has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

If you are no longer interested in Mosaic Brands, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.