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Illinois Tool Works (ITW) Q4 Earnings Miss, Revenues Beat

Illinois Tool Works Inc. ITW reported mixed fourth-quarter 2022 results. Its earnings missed estimates by 10%, while sales beat the same by 2.5%.

The industrial tool maker’s adjusted earnings (excluding a 12-cent impact of unfavorable foreign currency translation) in the quarter were $2.34, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.60. Our estimate for fourth-quarter adjusted earnings was $2.62. Earnings increased 20% from the year-ago figure of $1.95.

Revenue Details

Illinois Tool generated revenues of $3,971 million in the reported quarter, reflecting growth of 7.9% from the year-ago figure. Our estimate for net sales in the reported quarter was $3,836.6 million. The top-line results benefited from a 12% increase in organic sales and a 1% contribution from the MTS acquisition. Foreign currency movements had an adverse impact of 5%.

Except for the Specialty Products and Construction segment, the increase in sales in other segments supported the quarterly sales rise of 7.9%.

The top line surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3,875 million.

Illinois Tool reports revenues under the segments discussed below:

Test & Measurement and Electronics’ revenues in the third quarter increased 15% year over year to $732 million. Our estimate for segmental revenues was $705.0 million. Revenues from Automotive OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturer) increased 12% to $745 million. Our estimate for segmental revenues was $736.5 million. Food Equipment generated revenues of $631 million, increasing 11% year over year. Our estimate for segmental revenues was $579.0 million.

Welding revenues were $481 million, growing 14% year over year. Our estimate for segmental revenues was $439.2 million. Construction Products’ revenues were down 2% to $470 million. Our estimate for segmental revenues was $498.3 million. Revenues of $462 million from Specialty Products reflected a decrease of 1%. Our estimate for segmental revenues was $434.8 million. Polymers & Fluids’ revenues of $455 million grew 2% year over year. Our estimate for segmental revenues was $449.2 million.

Illinois Tool Works Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

 

Illinois Tool Works Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Illinois Tool Works Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Illinois Tool Works Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Illinois Tool Works Inc. Quote

Margin Profile

In the reported quarter, Illinois Tool’s cost of sales increased 5.4% year over year to $2,309 million. It represented 58.1% of the quarter’s revenues compared with 59.6% in the year-ago quarter. Selling, administrative, and research and development expenses expanded 3.7% to $644 million. The same represented 16.2% of fourth-quarter revenues compared with 16.9% in the year-ago quarter.

The operating margin was 24.8% in the quarter, up 210 basis points (bps) year over year. Enterprise initiatives contributed 110 bps to the operating margin, while price/cost had a favorable impact of 70 bps. Interest expenses in the quarter increased 14.3% year over year to $56 million. The effective tax rate in the quarter was 22%.

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow

At the time of exiting the fourth quarter, Illinois Tool had cash and cash equivalents of $708 million, down 53.6% from $1,527 million recorded at the end of the fourth quarter of 2021. Long-term debt decreased 10.7% to $6,173 million.

In 2022, Illinois Tool generated net cash of $2,348 million from operating activities, reflecting a decline of 8.2% from the year-ago period. Capital spending on the purchase of plant and equipment was $412 million, up 39.2% year over year. Free cash flow was $1,936 million, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 14.4%.

Outlook

For 2023, Illinois Tool expects organic revenue growth of 3-5% and a 1.5-3.5% rise in total revenues from the year-ago actuals. GAAP EPS for the year is anticipated to be $9.40-$9.80.

Foreign currency translation and divestitures are expected to adversely impact sales by 0.75% each.

The operating margin is expected to be 24.5-25.5%. Enterprise initiatives are likely to contribute 100 bps to the operating margin.

The free cash flow conversion rate is expected to be more than 100% of net income. The tax rate (effective) is expected to be 24%.

Zacks Rank & Stocks to Consider

ITW currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). Some better-ranked companies from the Industrial Products sector are discussed below:

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. AIT presently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 20.1%, on average. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks.

AIT’s earnings estimates have increased 6.5% for fiscal 2023 (ending June 2023) in the past 60 days. Shares of Applied Industrial have risen 42.1% in the past six months.

Allegion plc ALLE presently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). ALLE’s earnings surprise in the last four quarters was 8.8%, on average.

In the past 60 days, Allegion’s earnings estimates have been unchanged for 2022. The stock has gained 16% in the past six months.

Valmont Industries, Inc. VMI presently has a Zacks Rank of 2. VMI’s earnings surprise in the last four quarters was 12.5%, on average.

In the past 60 days, Valmont’s earnings estimates have increased by a penny. The stock has rallied 22.4% in the past six months.

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Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Valmont Industries, Inc. (VMI) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (AIT) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Allegion PLC (ALLE) : Free Stock Analysis Report

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