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If You Had Bought AGTech Holdings (HKG:8279) Stock Three Years Ago, You'd Be Sitting On A 77% Loss, Today

It's not possible to invest over long periods without making some bad investments. But really big losses can really drag down an overall portfolio. So consider, for a moment, the misfortune of AGTech Holdings Limited (HKG:8279) investors who have held the stock for three years as it declined a whopping 77%. That would be a disturbing experience. And over the last year the share price fell 40%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. There was little comfort for shareholders in the last week as the price declined a further 4.3%.

See our latest analysis for AGTech Holdings

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

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AGTech Holdings became profitable within the last five years. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.

Arguably the revenue decline of 7.3% per year has people thinking AGTech Holdings is shrinking. And that's not surprising, since it seems unlikely that EPS growth can continue for long in the absence of revenue growth.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

SEHK:8279 Income Statement, July 30th 2019
SEHK:8279 Income Statement, July 30th 2019

If you are thinking of buying or selling AGTech Holdings stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that AGTech Holdings shareholders are down 40% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 5.0%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 21% per year over five years. We realise that Buffett has said investors should 'buy when there is blood on the streets', but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality businesses. Before forming an opinion on AGTech Holdings you might want to consider these 3 valuation metrics.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.