Australia markets closed
  • ALL ORDS

    6,720.40
    -26.10 (-0.39%)
     
  • ASX 200

    6,539.90
    -28.20 (-0.43%)
     
  • AUD/USD

    0.6818
    -0.0087 (-1.25%)
     
  • OIL

    108.46
    +2.70 (+2.55%)
     
  • GOLD

    1,812.90
    +5.60 (+0.31%)
     
  • BTC-AUD

    28,062.54
    -362.11 (-1.27%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    420.84
    +0.70 (+0.17%)
     
  • AUD/EUR

    0.6533
    -0.0048 (-0.73%)
     
  • AUD/NZD

    1.0973
    -0.0077 (-0.70%)
     
  • NZX 50

    10,753.16
    -115.54 (-1.06%)
     
  • NASDAQ

    11,585.68
    +81.96 (+0.71%)
     
  • FTSE

    7,168.65
    -0.63 (-0.01%)
     
  • Dow Jones

    31,097.26
    +321.83 (+1.05%)
     
  • DAX

    12,813.03
    +29.26 (+0.23%)
     
  • Hang Seng

    21,859.79
    -137.10 (-0.62%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    25,935.62
    -457.42 (-1.73%)
     

Glencore's (LON:GLEN) earnings growth rate lags the 22% CAGR delivered to shareholders

  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
·3-min read
In this article:
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.

It might be of some concern to shareholders to see the Glencore plc (LON:GLEN) share price down 14% in the last month. But that shouldn't obscure the pleasing returns achieved by shareholders over the last three years. To wit, the share price did better than an index fund, climbing 64% during that period.

In light of the stock dropping 5.8% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive three-year return.

Check out our latest analysis for Glencore

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Glencore became profitable within the last three years. That would generally be considered a positive, so we'd expect the share price to be up.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
earnings-per-share-growth

We know that Glencore has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Glencore, it has a TSR of 80% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Glencore shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 45% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 13% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Glencore better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Glencore (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Our goal is to create a safe and engaging place for users to connect over interests and passions. In order to improve our community experience, we are temporarily suspending article commenting