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EUR/USD Prepares for Uptrend after ABC Flat Correction

Dear traders, the EUR/USD made a bearish retracement after a strong bull run. The pullback is probably a wave 4 (blue). More bullishness is expected BUT price action could build a sizable correction first.

4 hour chart

The EUR/USD is expected to respect and bounce at the Fibonacci retracement levels of wave 4 vs 3. A break below the 61.8% Fib and support trend line (blue) invalidates (red x) the wave 4 pattern (blue). After price completes the correction in wave 4 (blue), price is expected to make a bullish run towards the Fibonacci targets at 1.16 and 1.17.

1 hour chart

The EUR/USD is expecting an ABC (green) flat correction within wave 4 (blue). Within an ABC flat, price action should make an ABC within wave B (green) and 5 bearish waves (orange lines) within wave C of wave 4 (blue). The second most likely alternative is a triangle pattern. The least likely is a zigzag correction. The wave 4 (blue) is usually lengthy and could even expand into a complex correction. But keep in mind that the current market volatility remains high and price action could make impulsive movements at any moment.

Good trading,

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Chris Svorcik

The analysis has been done with the help of SWAT method (simple wave analysis and trading)

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This article was originally posted on FX Empire

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