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Easy Come, Easy Go: How Ironbark Zinc (ASX:IBG) Shareholders Got Unlucky And Saw 88% Of Their Cash Evaporate

We're definitely into long term investing, but some companies are simply bad investments over any time frame. We really hate to see fellow investors lose their hard-earned money. Imagine if you held Ironbark Zinc Limited (ASX:IBG) for half a decade as the share price tanked 88%. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 54%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 14% in the last 90 days.

We really hope anyone holding through that price crash has a diversified portfolio. Even when you lose money, you don't have to lose the lesson.

View our latest analysis for Ironbark Zinc

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With just AU$11,000 worth of revenue in twelve months, we don't think the market considers Ironbark Zinc to have proven its business plan. We can't help wondering why it's publicly listed so early in its journey. Are venture capitalists not interested? As a result, we think it's unlikely shareholders are paying much attention to current revenue, but rather speculating on growth in the years to come. For example, investors may be hoping that Ironbark Zinc finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.

As a general rule, if a company doesn't have much revenue, and it loses money, then it is a high risk investment. You should be aware that there is always a chance that this sort of company will need to issue more shares to raise money to continue pursuing its business plan. While some companies like this go on to deliver on their plan, making good money for shareholders, many end in painful losses and eventual de-listing. It certainly is a dangerous place to invest, as Ironbark Zinc investors might realise.

Ironbark Zinc had liabilities exceeding cash by AU$22k when it last reported in June 2019, according to our data. That makes it extremely high risk, in our view. But since the share price has dived -34% per year, over 5 years , it looks like some investors think it's time to abandon ship, so to speak. The image below shows how Ironbark Zinc's balance sheet has changed over time; if you want to see the precise values, simply click on the image. The image below shows how Ironbark Zinc's balance sheet has changed over time; if you want to see the precise values, simply click on the image.

ASX:IBG Historical Debt, February 5th 2020
ASX:IBG Historical Debt, February 5th 2020

Of course, the truth is that it is hard to value companies without much revenue or profit. What if insiders are ditching the stock hand over fist? I'd like that just about as much as I like to drink milk and fruit juice mixed together. It costs nothing but a moment of your time to see if we are picking up on any insider selling.

A Different Perspective

Ironbark Zinc shareholders are down 54% for the year, but the market itself is up 22%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 34% per year over five years. We realise that Buffett has said investors should 'buy when there is blood on the streets', but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 6 warning signs we've spotted with Ironbark Zinc (including 3 which is are concerning) .

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AU exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.