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Earnings Beat: RB Global, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

RB Global, Inc. (NYSE:RBA) just released its quarterly report and things are looking bullish. The company beat forecasts, with revenue of US$1.1b, some 4.3% above estimates, and statutory earnings per share (EPS) coming in at US$0.53, 39% ahead of expectations. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

View our latest analysis for RB Global

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Taking into account the latest results, RB Global's nine analysts currently expect revenues in 2024 to be US$4.26b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to jump 37% to US$2.33. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$4.19b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.98 in 2024. Although the revenue estimates have not really changed, we can see there's been a solid gain to earnings per share expectations, suggesting that the analysts have become more bullish after the latest result.

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The consensus price target was unchanged at US$79.56, implying that the improved earnings outlook is not expected to have a long term impact on value creation for shareholders. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic RB Global analyst has a price target of US$95.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$57.00. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that RB Global's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 0.8% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 23% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 6.6% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than RB Global.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards RB Global following these results. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for RB Global going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Plus, you should also learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with RB Global .

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.