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How Does Temple & Webster Group's (ASX:TPW) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After The Share Price Drop?

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Temple & Webster Group (ASX:TPW) share price has dived 37% in the last thirty days. The stock has been solid, longer term, gaining 43% in the last year.

Assuming nothing else has changed, a lower share price makes a stock more attractive to potential buyers. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. The implication here is that long term investors have an opportunity when expectations of a company are too low. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). Investors have optimistic expectations of companies with higher P/E ratios, compared to companies with lower P/E ratios.

See our latest analysis for Temple & Webster Group

How Does Temple & Webster Group's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

Temple & Webster Group's P/E of 63.05 indicates some degree of optimism towards the stock. As you can see below, Temple & Webster Group has a much higher P/E than the average company (19.6) in the online retail industry.

ASX:TPW Price Estimation Relative to Market March 30th 2020
ASX:TPW Price Estimation Relative to Market March 30th 2020

Its relatively high P/E ratio indicates that Temple & Webster Group shareholders think it will perform better than other companies in its industry classification. Shareholders are clearly optimistic, but the future is always uncertain. So further research is always essential. I often monitor director buying and selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Generally speaking the rate of earnings growth has a profound impact on a company's P/E multiple. Earnings growth means that in the future the 'E' will be higher. Therefore, even if you pay a high multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become lower in the future. And as that P/E ratio drops, the company will look cheap, unless its share price increases.

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Temple & Webster Group's earnings per share fell by 8.1% in the last twelve months.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

It's important to note that the P/E ratio considers the market capitalization, not the enterprise value. So it won't reflect the advantage of cash, or disadvantage of debt. Theoretically, a business can improve its earnings (and produce a lower P/E in the future) by investing in growth. That means taking on debt (or spending its cash).

Such spending might be good or bad, overall, but the key point here is that you need to look at debt to understand the P/E ratio in context.

Temple & Webster Group's Balance Sheet

Since Temple & Webster Group holds net cash of AU$16m, it can spend on growth, justifying a higher P/E ratio than otherwise.

The Bottom Line On Temple & Webster Group's P/E Ratio

With a P/E ratio of 63.1, Temple & Webster Group is expected to grow earnings very strongly in the years to come. Falling earnings per share is probably keeping traditional value investors away, but the relatively strong balance sheet will allow the company time to invest in growth. Clearly, the high P/E indicates shareholders think it will! Given Temple & Webster Group's P/E ratio has declined from 99.7 to 63.1 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is significantly less confident about the business today, than it was back then. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for a contrarian, it may signal opportunity.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. People often underestimate remarkable growth -- so investors can make money when fast growth is not fully appreciated. So this free visualization of the analyst consensus on future earnings could help you make the right decision about whether to buy, sell, or hold.

Of course you might be able to find a better stock than Temple & Webster Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.