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How Does Ross Stores's (NASDAQ:ROST) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After The Share Price Drop?

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Ross Stores (NASDAQ:ROST) share price has dived 39% in the last thirty days. Even longer term holders have taken a real hit with the stock declining 19% in the last year.

All else being equal, a share price drop should make a stock more attractive to potential investors. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). Investors have optimistic expectations of companies with higher P/E ratios, compared to companies with lower P/E ratios.

Check out our latest analysis for Ross Stores

Does Ross Stores Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

Ross Stores's P/E of 15.96 indicates some degree of optimism towards the stock. As you can see below, Ross Stores has a higher P/E than the average company (9.1) in the specialty retail industry.

NasdaqGS:ROST Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 17th 2020
NasdaqGS:ROST Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 17th 2020

That means that the market expects Ross Stores will outperform other companies in its industry. The market is optimistic about the future, but that doesn't guarantee future growth. So further research is always essential. I often monitor director buying and selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

P/E ratios primarily reflect market expectations around earnings growth rates. If earnings are growing quickly, then the 'E' in the equation will increase faster than it would otherwise. Therefore, even if you pay a high multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become lower in the future. A lower P/E should indicate the stock is cheap relative to others -- and that may attract buyers.

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Ross Stores's earnings per share grew by 7.9% in the last twelve months. And it has bolstered its earnings per share by 16% per year over the last five years.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

It's important to note that the P/E ratio considers the market capitalization, not the enterprise value. So it won't reflect the advantage of cash, or disadvantage of debt. In theory, a company can lower its future P/E ratio by using cash or debt to invest in growth.

While growth expenditure doesn't always pay off, the point is that it is a good option to have; but one that the P/E ratio ignores.

How Does Ross Stores's Debt Impact Its P/E Ratio?

The extra options and safety that comes with Ross Stores's US$1.0b net cash position means that it deserves a higher P/E than it would if it had a lot of net debt.

The Verdict On Ross Stores's P/E Ratio

Ross Stores's P/E is 16.0 which is above average (12.7) in its market. EPS was up modestly better over the last twelve months. And the net cash position provides the company with multiple options. The high P/E suggests the market thinks further growth will come. Given Ross Stores's P/E ratio has declined from 26.3 to 16.0 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is significantly less confident about the business today, than it was back then. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for a contrarian, it may signal opportunity.

When the market is wrong about a stock, it gives savvy investors an opportunity. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, 'In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine. So this free visual report on analyst forecasts could hold the key to an excellent investment decision.

You might be able to find a better buy than Ross Stores. If you want a selection of possible winners, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20 (but have proven they can grow earnings).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.