Advertisement
Australia markets closed
  • ALL ORDS

    7,937.50
    -0.40 (-0.01%)
     
  • ASX 200

    7,683.00
    -0.50 (-0.01%)
     
  • AUD/USD

    0.6500
    +0.0011 (+0.17%)
     
  • OIL

    82.82
    -0.54 (-0.65%)
     
  • GOLD

    2,328.80
    -13.30 (-0.57%)
     
  • Bitcoin AUD

    98,648.03
    -3,432.13 (-3.36%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,385.35
    -38.75 (-2.72%)
     
  • AUD/EUR

    0.6068
    +0.0011 (+0.19%)
     
  • AUD/NZD

    1.0944
    +0.0014 (+0.12%)
     
  • NZX 50

    11,946.43
    +143.15 (+1.21%)
     
  • NASDAQ

    17,526.80
    +55.33 (+0.32%)
     
  • FTSE

    8,040.38
    -4.43 (-0.06%)
     
  • Dow Jones

    38,460.92
    -42.77 (-0.11%)
     
  • DAX

    18,088.70
    -48.95 (-0.27%)
     
  • Hang Seng

    17,201.27
    +372.34 (+2.21%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    38,460.08
    +907.92 (+2.42%)
     

Does Force Commodities Limited (ASX:4CE) Have A Volatile Share Price?

If you own shares in Force Commodities Limited (ASX:4CE) then it's worth thinking about how it contributes to the volatility of your portfolio, overall. In finance, Beta is a measure of volatility. Volatility is considered to be a measure of risk in modern finance theory. Investors may think of volatility as falling into two main categories. The first category is company specific volatility. This can be dealt with by limiting your exposure to any particular stock. The second sort is caused by the natural volatility of markets, overall. For example, certain macroeconomic events will impact (virtually) all stocks on the market.

Some stocks are more sensitive to general market forces than others. Beta can be a useful tool to understand how much a stock is influenced by market risk (volatility). However, Warren Buffett said 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk' in his 2014 letter to investors. So, while useful, beta is not the only metric to consider. To use beta as an investor, you must first understand that the overall market has a beta of one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, while those with a beta below one are either less volatile or poorly correlated with the market.

Check out our latest analysis for Force Commodities

What does 4CE's beta value mean to investors?

Looking at the last five years, Force Commodities has a beta of 1.37. The fact that this is well above 1 indicates that its share price movements have shown sensitivity to overall market volatility. Based on this history, investors should be aware that Force Commodities are likely to rise strongly in times of greed, but sell off in times of fear. Many would argue that beta is useful in position sizing, but fundamental metrics such as revenue and earnings are more important overall. You can see Force Commodities's revenue and earnings in the image below.

ASX:4CE Income Statement, November 12th 2019
ASX:4CE Income Statement, November 12th 2019

Could 4CE's size cause it to be more volatile?

With a market capitalisation of AU$7.6m, Force Commodities is a very small company by global standards. It is quite likely to be unknown to most investors. It has a relatively high beta, suggesting it is fairly actively traded for a company of its size. Because it takes less capital to move the share price of a small company like this, when a stock this size is actively traded it is quite often more sensitive to market volatility than similar large companies.

What this means for you:

Since Force Commodities has a reasonably high beta, it's worth considering why it is so heavily influenced by broader market sentiment. For example, it might be a high growth stock or have a lot of operating leverage in its business model. This article aims to educate investors about beta values, but it's well worth looking at important company-specific fundamentals such as Force Commodities’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to continue your research by taking a look at the following:

ADVERTISEMENT
  1. Financial Health: Are 4CE’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.

  2. Past Track Record: Has 4CE been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of 4CE's historicals for more clarity.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.